Power Four vs. Group of Five. Memphis Tigers QB Seth Henigan’s final collegiate game. The West Virginia Mountaineers search for a new head coach. There are plenty of headlines in this Frisco Bowl matchup, but only one thing matters: the final score.
Who will come out on top? Our Memphis vs. West Virginia prediction breaks down everything you need to know — from the latest betting odds to what’s at stake for both teams as they meet in the Scooter’s Coffee Frisco Bowl.
Memphis vs. West Virginia Frisco Bowl Betting Preview
All Memphis vs. West Virginia odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Wednesday, Dec. 11, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
West Virginia -2.5 - Spread
Memphis -4.5 - Moneyline
Memphis -192, West Virginia +160 - Over/Under
58.5 points - Game Time
4:00 p.m. ET, Tuesday, Dec. 17 - Location
Toyota Stadium | Frisco, Texas - Predicted Weather at Kick
TBD - How To Watch
ESPN
The Tigers and Mountaineers have put up points this year, resulting in the over hitting in five of their last six games.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
As for picking a side, there are a couple of trends to note:
- Memphis is 4-2 against the spread in its last six contests against Big 12 opponents.
- West Virginia is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games played in December.
Memphis’ Winning Probability
Ryan Silverfield has led Memphis to three bowl games, and the Tigers have won all of them. Can they make it four straight? Of course, it’s been a bit of a disappointing season for the program, even with a 10-2 record.
They were meant to play in the AAC championship, but losses to the Navy Midshipmen and UTSA Roadrunners ruined that opportunity. Still, Memphis will want to end the year on a high note against a Power Four team.
- at West Virginia: 45.7%
West Virginia’s Winning Probability
The Mountaineers fired head coach Neal Brown following a 6-6 campaign. They seemed to be trending in the right direction after going from 5-7 to 9-4 in the last two years.
Yet, West Virginia lost its momentum, resulting in Brown’s ousting following six seasons at the helm. How will the roster respond in the final game of the year?
- vs. Memphis: 54.3%
Prediction for Memphis vs. West Virginia
I’m not betting against Henigan in his final game as a collegiate passer. Adding to that narrative, the Frisco Bowl is just 20-ish miles away from his high school — yeah, he’s going out with a bang.
Henigan, who has thrown for 3,208 yards, 23 TDs, and six INTs this year, is the Tigers’ all-time leading passer (13,972 yards), the winningest QB in the program’s history, and one of only three active QBs with 100+ career TD passes (Oregon’s Dillon Gabriel and Washington’s Will Rogers).
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
On the flip side, offensive coordinator Chad Scott will serve as West Virginia’s interim head coach for the bowl game, and there’s some concern under center.
Starter Garrett Greene exited the regular-season finale against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in the first quarter with a shoulder injury.
Even if he guts it out, how effective will he be, particularly as a rusher, which is his best asset?
Backup Nicco Marchiol has looked solid in his stead — actually, even better as a passer — but draws a defense 25 in success rate, 10th in rushing yards allowed (103.9 ypg), and tied for ninth in turnovers forced (24).
Meanwhile, Henigan faces a West Virginia unit ranked 128th in net points per drive, 127th in dropback success rate, and 104th in EPA per dropback.
Prediction: Memphis 31, West Virginia 26
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