Under the bright lights of AT&T Stadium in Dallas, the Arizona State Sun Devils and Iowa State Cyclones will clash for the Big 12 Championship on Saturday, Dec. 7 — a matchup brimming with stakes and storylines.
Arizona State roars into this title game off a dominant 49-7 rivalry win over Arizona. Steady and relentless Iowa State secured its spot with a gritty 29-21 victory against Kansas State, displaying the resilience that defines championship contenders. With a College Football Playoff birth on the line, who will emerge victorious in the Big 12 Championship Game?
Big 12 Championship Game Betting Preview
All Big 12 Championship Game odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Dec. 2, 2024. The CFN FPM spread is from the College Football Network Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Arizona State -1 - Spread
Arizona State -2.5 - Moneyline
Iowa State +125, Arizona State -130 - Over/Under
51 points - Game time
Noon ET - Location
AT&T Stadium | Arlington, TX - Predicted Weather at Kick
56 degrees, partly cloudy, 2 mph winds - How to Watch
ABC
This one has seen a lot of movement, as the favorite has flipped since the opening line.
The Cyclones were the initial favorites, with the line opening at Iowa State -1. With plenty of action pouring in, though, the Sun Devils have now flipped as the favorite, currently sitting at -2.5. If you’re looking for action on Arizona State, act quickly, as they will likely be a full field-goal favorite by kickoff.
The total hasn’t been as active as the spread since the opening. It opened at 50.5 and has ticked up half a point to 51, where it currently sits. This will likely be very close to the closing number by the time Saturday’s kickoff rolls around.
Iowa State’s Winning Probability
History beckons for Iowa State. The Cyclones, 10-2 on the season, have achieved something never done before in their storied program — double-digit regular-season wins. Now, they march into their first Big 12 Championship Game since 2020, carrying the weight of a century-long drought. S
light underdogs have a 49.2% chance of victory, per CFN FPM, and this team knows what’s at stake. A win on Saturday wouldn’t just be a title; it would be Iowa State’s first championship since 1912.
- at Arizona State: 49.2%
Arizona State’s Winning Probability
In their inaugural season in the Big 12, Arizona State has arrived at the doorstep of history. Fresh off reclaiming the Territorial Cup, the Sun Devils have secured their first 10-win regular season in a decade, as Kenny Dillingham and Arizona State has flipped the script from a 3-9 season just a year ago.
Now, the Sun Devils are narrow favorites to capture their first championship since 2007. With a 50.8% chance of victory, according to the CFN FPM, Saturday at AT&T Stadium is more than a game — it’s a chance to cement a new era for Arizona State football.
- vs. Iowa State: 50.8%
Prediction for Big 12 Championship Game
Two teams with identical records yet vastly different paths converge for the Big 12 Championship.
Arizona State, predicted to finish last in the conference, finds itself here after a dominant win over Arizona. Iowa State, coming off a hard-fought victory against Kansas State, needed a BYU win over Houston to punch its ticket. These teams have never met, but the stakes couldn’t be higher.
This is Dillingham’s second year with Arizona State. He’s transformed the Sun Devils into a conference contender following last season’s 3-9 disappointment.
Running back Cameron Skattebo has been the cornerstone of ASU’s success, amassing 1,221 rushing yards, 14 touchdowns, and 460 receiving yards. But while quarterback Sam Leavitt has been sharp, throwing for 2,441 yards and 21 touchdowns, the Sun Devils could be without star receiver Jordyn Tyson, who left last week’s game in a sling.
Iowa State, making its second Big 12 title game appearance, leans on quarterback Rocco Becht, who has 2,884 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, and an additional six scores on the ground.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
However, the Cyclones’ Achilles’ heel is their run defense, ranked 99th in the FBS. Facing ASU’s 32nd-ranked rushing attack, led by Skattebo, will test their endurance.
This game may hinge on turnovers. If Becht and the Cyclones protect the ball, they can compete. But Arizona State’s ground game seems poised to wear down Iowa State’s defense, securing the Sun Devils’ improbable championship run.
Prediction: Arizona State 30, Iowa State 23
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