While the direction of the 2024 season means this clash between the Memphis Tigers and Tulane Green Wave doesn’t carry the same stakes predicted in the preseason, both teams want to end the season on a high, and it still carries weight in deciding where the AAC Championship Game will be played next weekend.
Who will prevail? Our Memphis vs. Tulane prediction dives into all the details—from the latest betting odds to what’s at stake for both programs as they navigate the final stretch of the 2024 college football season.
Memphis vs. Tulane Betting Preview
All Memphis vs. Tulane odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Tulane -6 - Spread
Tulane -13 - Moneyline
Tulane -485, Memphis +370 - Over/Under
55 points - Game Time
7:30 p.m. ET - Location
Yulman Stadium | New Orleans, LA - Predicted Weather at Kick
59 degrees, 11 mph winds, partly cloudy - How To Watch
ESPN
Thursday night marks the 41st meeting between Memphis and Tulane. The Tigers hold a 24-15-1 head-to-head advantage heading into the game, but recent history hasn’t favored them. The Green Wave has washed over their AAC rival in the last two editions (2022 and 2023), and Jon Sumrall’s team is a significant favorite ahead of the Thanksgiving football feast from Louisiana.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
Playing as an underdog against Tulane isn’t a pleasant place to be. The Green Wave have won every game they’ve played as a favorite this year, and they’re 7-1 against the spread in their last eight contests. Memphis has covered the spread just twice in their last nine and is 1-5 ATS in their previous six encounters against Tulane.
The trends point one way, but does out Memphis vs. Tulane prediction concur?
Memphis’ Winning Probability
With Tulane and the Army Black Knights undefeated in conference play, Memphis won’t gain or lose much from this game. However, they’ll want to hand the Green Wave just their third loss of the season, likely knocking them out of the Top 25 (Tulane is currently No. 20).
- at Tulane: 34.3%
Tulane’s Winning Probability
As mentioned, Tulane doesn’t have much to play for in this one. Still, they’ll want to maintain their unblemished league record while pushing for a higher placement in the final regular season Top 25.
- vs. Memphis: 65.7%
Prediction for Memphis vs. Tulane
Since suffering back-to-back losses to the Kansas State Wildcats and Oklahoma Sooners, the Green Wave have produced eight straight victories, scoring 30+ points in all but one. Meanwhile, the Tigers have scored 30+ in four of their last five — this game will feature plenty of fireworks.
Don’t let Tulane’s 91st-ranked strength of schedule diminish what they’ve done this season. In fact, their performance looks even more impressive next to Memphis, whose SOS is the third easiest in the nation.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Darian Mensah has run the offense to perfection, taking what the defense gives him, completing well-timed deep shots, and using his legs to escape collapsing pockets. Paired with RB Mekhi Hughes, the duo has led a unit ranked 15th in success rate and 31st in EPA per play.
Memphis won’t make it easy, especially for the ground game, but they are vulnerable in the secondary. Offensively, Seth Henigan and Co. have proven they can score points. Yet, the run-blocking unit leaves some to be desired, and the pass catchers have struggled to generate separation.
Take Tulane to win, Memphis to cover, and the over to hit in what should be one of the best AAC clashes of the year.
Prediction: Tulane 34, Memphis 24
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