Look away, Wyoming Cowboys fans — the Boise State Broncos are coming to town. Not only are they the No. 12 in the country, but they’ve defeated the Cowboys in seven straight contests. In fact, they are 17-1 all-time against Wyoming.
Our Boise State vs. Wyoming preview breaks down this intriguing matchup, delivering key betting insights to help guide your picks.
Boise State vs. Wyoming Betting Preview
All Boise State vs. Wyoming odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Thursday, Nov. 21, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Boise State -22 - Spread
Boise State -22.5 - Moneyline
Boise State -1450, Wyoming +850 - Over/Under
56.5 points - Game Time
7:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 23 - Location
War Memorial Stadium | Laramie, Wyo. - Predicted Weather at Kick
48 degrees, 16 mph winds, mostly cloudy - How To Watch
CBSSN
In terms of the spread, both of these teams have performed well in recent outings:
- Boise State is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven games.
- Wyoming is 4-2 ATS in its last six.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
As for the total, Broncos games have gone over in 10 of the previous 13. So, that’s the play, right? Not so fast, as the last five Wyoming-Boise State bouts went under.
Boise State’s Winning Probability
The Broncos are primed for their first-ever College Football Playoff berth this season, but they can’t stumble in the final two games of the season. Of course, the FPM doesn’t expect them to, giving Boise over 90% win probabilities against Wyoming and the Oregon State Beavers.
- at Wyoming: 94.4%
- vs. Oregon State: 91.3%
Wyoming’s Winning Probability
At 2-8, the Cowboys aren’t going anywhere fast. They’ll want to win at least one more game for pride. Unfortunately, they drew Boise State and the Washington State Cougars for their final two games — a 2-10 record is the likely result.
- vs. Boise State: 5.6%
- at Washington State: 5.6%
Prediction for Boise State vs. Wyoming
For as well as the Broncos have performed all year, the defense has allowed over 20 points in all but two games (14 vs. Portland State and seven vs. Hawaii). Luckily, Wyoming should give them a chance to make it three.
The Cowboys have scored 20+ in just four games this year and are starting a redshirt freshman with limited experience under center. This should be a bloodbath.
Boise State hasn’t lived up to the hype the last two weeks, narrowly knocking off the Nevada Wolf Pack (28-21) and needing a quarter and a half to lock in against the San Jose State Spartans (42-21). Expect Ashton Jeanty and Co. to come out firing this week.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
We don’t need to make this too difficult. Wyoming allows 30.9 ppg (108th); Boise State scores 43.8 ppg (third). While the Cowboys’ best facet is their run defense, the unit is still just 108th in EPA per rush and bleeds yardage on early downs. The offense isn’t any better, and no one can take advantage of Boise’s biggest weakness: tackling.
While the Broncos will fuel Jeanty’s Heisman hopes with a steady stream of carries, QB Maddux Madsen could also have a big game, seeing as Wyoming is 121st in EPA per dropback and 122nd in defensive dropback success rate.
Arizona State (48), North Texas (44), and New Mexico (49) have dropped 40+ on Jay Sawvel’s squad — Boise State could push 50.
Prediction: Boise State 48, Wyoming 13
College Football Network has you covered with the latest from the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC, and every Group of Five conference and FBS Independent program.