Although the Arizona State Sun Devils own a 5-1 all-time advantage over the Kansas State Wildcats, the Wildcats won the last matchup in 2002 (34-37). Reunited over two decades later, can they find similar success in Week 12?
Our Arizona State vs. Kansas State preview dives into the showdown, offering key betting insights to guide your picks.
Arizona State vs. Kansas State Betting Preview
All Arizona State vs. Kansas State odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Nov. 11, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Kansas State -6 - Spread
Kansas State -8.5 - Moneyline
Kansas State -325, Arizona State +260 - Over/Under
50 points - Game Time
7:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 16 - Location
Bill Snyder Family Stadium | Manhattan, Kan. - Predicted Weather at Kick
54 degrees, 8 mph winds, mostly cloudy - How To Watch
ESPN
The Wildcats have been on a roller coaster against the spread, going 4-8 in their last 12 games. Meanwhile, Arizona State has consistently cashed in recent games, going 4-1 ATS.
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ASU has been an over merchant in November under head coach Kenny Dillingham, hitting the mark in six of its last seven contests. To add to the allure, the total has gone over in four of K-State’s previous five bouts.
Arizona State’s Winning Probability
Both of these teams are 7-2 with a real shot at the conference title, but Arizona State’s path is far more difficult. Not only do they have to defeat the Wildcats in Week 12, but they’ll need to knock off the undefeated BYU Cougars the following week.
- at Kansas State: 33.6%
- vs. BYU: 34.3%
- at Arizona: 54.3%
Kansas State’s Winning Probability
The Wildcats are favored to win each of their final three games, although they’ll need to bring their A game in each, as the Sun Devils, Cincinnati Bearcats, and Iowa State Cyclones could easily hand them an L if they aren’t careful.
- vs. Arizona State: 66.4%
- vs. Cincinnati: 79.9%
- at Iowa State: 50.4%
Prediction for Arizona State vs. Kansas State
Arizona State’s offense runs through Cam Skattebo and the ground game, but don’t sleep on QB Sam Leavitt. The veteran transfer from Michigan State has operated Dillingham’s offense well, delivering strikes downfield while taking care of the football (just four INTs).
Even with Skattebo out versus the UCF Knights last week with an undisclosed injury — he is questionable to return this week but is trending upward — Leavitt threw three TDs to no turnovers.
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On the other side of the field, the athletic, big-armed Avery Johnson has had his share of struggles, specifically against pressure. However, Arizona State hasn’t generated push up front at a high rate, averaging just two sacks per game.
If the Sun Devils can execute some well-timed blitzes to get Johnson off his spot, the secondary could feast downfield (nine picks this year). The offense should be able to do its part in controlling the tempo (39.2% rush rate, 15th highest; 47.9% rush success rate, 13th), putting even more pressure on Johnson to deliver through the air.
If Skattebo is back to 100%, take the Sun Devils to win straight up and cover. If not, the lean is still toward ASU but keeping the score within a TD.
Prediction: Arizona State 29, Kansas State 26
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