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    Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina Prediction: Owls Mark the Spot for Another Pirates Win

    The Owls have never defeated the Pirates -- Week 11 won't prove any different. Here's why in our Florida Atlanta vs. East Carolina prediction.

    The Florida Atlantic Owls and East Carolina Pirates have only met twice, but neither contest was particularly close. ECU came away with a dominant 31-13 victory in their first matchup in 2013 before coming back around with a 22-7 win a decade later.

    Our Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina preview breaks down the matchup, giving you crucial betting insights to help shape your picks.

    CFN CFB Playoff Predictor
    College Football Network’s College Football Playoff Predictor is a tool that allows you to play out various weekly scenarios to see how the CFP picture changes with each scenario.

    Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina Betting Preview

    All Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.

    • CFN FPM Spread
      East Carolina -1.5
    • Spread
      East Carolina -7.5
    • Moneyline
      East Carolina -305, Florida Atlantic +245
    • Over/Under
      57.5 points
    • Game Time
      8:00 p.m. ET, Thursday, Nov. 7
    • Location
      Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium | Greenville, N.C.
    • Predicted Weather at Kick
      66 degrees, 1 mph winds, mostly cloudy
    • How To Watch
      ESPN2

    This is a good week for ECU against the spread bettors, with the program going 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Week 11. It also helps that FAU is just 1-4 ATS in their last five contests this season.

    MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator

    However, for those more interested in the total, the line has gone over in five of the Owls’ previous six outings and four of the Pirates’ last five.

    Florida Atlantic’s Winning Probability

    The Owls haven’t enjoyed a winning season since Lane Kiffin’s final campaign in 2019 (11-3). Since then, it’s been a whole lot of nothing, and this year has been no different under Tom Herman. FAU went 4-8 in his inaugural season, and that’s likely where they’ll finish in 2024.

    • at ECU: 47.5%
    • vs. Temple: 55.6%
    • vs. Charlotte: 50.6%
    • at Tulsa: 49.4%

    East Carolina’s Winning Probability

    The Pirates have a chance to go bowling for just the second time in the last decade, but it won’t be easy. The FPM gives them a win probability over 50% in just one of their remaining games — they need two victories to secure a bowl berth.

    • vs. FAU: 52.5%
    • at Tulsa: 49.4%
    • at North Texas: 32.3%
    • vs. Navy: 32.3%

    Prediction for Florida Atlantic vs. East Carolina

    Not only is FAU coming into this matchup searching for its first conference win, but they’ve allowed 44, 38, and 41 points in the last three games. ECU has two league victories under its belt, but the defense has been similarly inept as of late, conceding 34, 45, and 55 in the same time frame.

    So, who wins in a match between a moveable object and a stoppable force? The side who can put up the most points.

    MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor

    The Pirates average 6.4 more points (30.4 to 24.0) and 31 more yards (397.5 to 366.5) per game than the Owls. And while they have a -6 turnover margin compared to FAU’s +2, 12 interceptions were thrown by now-benched QB Jake Garcia.

    New starter Katin Houser has been safer with the ball while also owning a lower pressure-to-sack rate. The Owls can’t get out of their own way, and Week 11 won’t be any different.

    Prediction: East Carolina 37, Florida Atlantic 27

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