The Wisconsin Badgers maintain a narrow lead in their all-time series against the Iowa Hawkeyes at 49-46-2. But the Hawkeyes have claimed victory in the last two showdowns for the Heartland Trophy. Can Iowa make it three straight in Week 10?
Our Wisconsin vs. Iowa prediction breaks down the matchup, offering key betting insights to guide your wagers.
Wisconsin vs. Iowa Betting Preview
All Wisconsin vs. Iowa odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Iowa -2.5 - Spread
Iowa -3 - Moneyline
Iowa -135, Wisconsin +114 - Over/Under
40.5 points - Game Time
7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 2 - Location
Kinnick Stadium | Iowa City, Iowa - Predicted Weather at Kick
52 degrees, 6 mph winds, light rain - How To Watch
NBC
Attention all bettors: the over has hit in four of Wisconsin’s last six games and seven of Iowa’s last eight. Do with that information what you will.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
As far as the spread, the Badgers have struggled against the Hawkeyes, going 1-4 ATS in the previous five matchups. However, they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven contests on the road, so the 2024 duel could be closer than expected.
Wisconsin’s Winning Probability
Both programs are a win away from going bowling, but Wisconsin’s path is notably more difficult. Outside of the season finale against Minnesota, the Badgers own sub-50% win probabilities for the rest of the year.
- at Iowa: 45.7%
- vs. Oregon: 16.5%
- at Nebraska: 46.2%
- vs. Minnesota: 61.9%
Iowa’s Winning Probability
Meanwhile, the Hawkeyes don’t have a win probability under 50%, which is highlighted by two 70+ rates on the road against UCLA and Maryland.
- vs. Wisconsin: 54.3%
- at UCLA: 75.3%
- at Maryland: 73.0%
- vs. Nebraska: 55.6%
Prediction for Wisconsin vs. Iowa
After having their three-game conference win streak cut short by the Penn State Nittany Lions last week, the Badgers are aiming to bounce back with a win against the Hawkeyes. But it won’t be easy—Kirk Ferentz’s squad just rolled over Northwestern 40-14.
Iowa’s offense has hit the 40-point mark in two of its last three games, driven by the unstoppable ground game of Kaleb Johnson, who’s racked up 1,144 yards and 16 touchdowns on 146 carries this season.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
With Brendan Sullivan stepping in for Cade McNamara, who’s had his ups and downs, Iowa’s offense could reach new heights. Sullivan wrapped up last week’s game completing 9 of 14 passes for 79 yards, along with eight carries for 41 yards and a touchdown.
“We decided during the week to rotate Brendan in on the third or fourth series,” Ferentz said. “It worked out well. He did a nice job, and Cade was a bit shaken up after a hit.”
Sullivan now tops the depth chart, with McNamara sidelined going into Week 10. While Sullivan may not dominate Wisconsin’s stout defense, his dual-threat abilities paired with Johnson’s hard-hitting run game could be a handful for the Badgers.
On the other side, Wisconsin has its own QB challenge, as starter Tyler Van Dyke is out for the season, thrusting sophomore Braedyn Locke into the spotlight. Locke has kept things steady but has completed just 57.6% of his passes, with seven touchdowns and six interceptions.
Take Iowa to win outright, cover the spread, and for both teams to put up enough points to push the total over.
Prediction: Iowa 27, Wisconsin 20
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