The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and James Madison Dukes have only met four times, but JMU has won the last three matchups — the streak should continue in 2024.
Here’s a breakdown of the latest odds, spread analysis, and our Coastal Carolina vs. James Madison prediction as these teams gear up for Thursday night Fun Belt action.
Coastal Carolina vs. James Madison Betting Preview
All Coastal Carolina vs. James Madison odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Oct. 7, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
James Madison -12 - Spread
James Madison -9.5 - Moneyline
James Madison -380, Coastal Carolina +300 - Over/Under
62.5 points - Game Time
7:30 ET, Thursday, Oct. 10 - Location
Bridgeforth Stadium, Harrisonburg, Va. - Predicted Weather at Kick
51 degrees, 3 mph winds, clear - How To Watch
ESPN2
The total has skyrocketed since opening at 55.5, with bettors pushing the line to 62.5. It’s understandable, with the over hitting in four of Coastal’s last five games.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
Elsewhere, the Chanticleers are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games against Sun Belt opponents, while the Dukes are 9-1 straight up in their last 10 home contests.
Coastal Carolina’s Winning Probability
Coastal Carolina’s 18.9% win probability in Week 7 may pain fans, but the final stretch looks much more appealing.
Here are the Chanticleers’ win probabilities for the rest of the season:
- vs. Louisiana: 34.9%
- at Troy: 62.6%
- vs. App State: 51.2%
- at Marshall: 48.2%
- vs. Georgia Southern: 52.5%
- at Georgia State: 50.8%
James Madison’s Winning Probability
Yes, James Madison surprisingly fell to ULM in Week 6, but the program has a good shot at going undefeated the rest of the way, beginning with an 81.1% chance of knocking off the Chanticleers.
Here are the Dukes’ win probabilities for the rest of the season:
- at Georgia Southern: 74.6%
- vs. Southern Miss: 90.4%
- vs. Georgia State: 78.1%
- at Old Dominion: 88.6%
- at App State: 79.9%
- vs. Marshall: 78.1%
Prediction for Coastal Carolina vs. James Madison
On paper, these two teams should combine for a ridiculous amount of points.
- James Madison: 442.8 YPG, 39.0 PPG
- Coastal Carolina: 438.8 YPG, 38.4 PPG
But when you dig a little, it’s clear those numbers are bloated. The Dukes have scored most of their points on the backs of turnovers and special teams mistakes, but the Chants only have five giveaways on the season.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
The result will be far fewer quick scores, especially when taking into account that JMU is only 51st in success rate despite the explosive highlight reel.
That said, their ability to move the chains (46% third-down conversion rate, 36th) and CCU’s inability to get off the field (43.3% opponent third-down conversion rate, 105th) should lead to a victory for the home team.
Take the Dukes moneyline and ATS, but the under is the best play here.
Prediction: James Madison 31, Coastal Carolina 20
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