College Football Playoff Meter 2024

College Football Playoff Meter 2024

View CFN's Football Playoff Meter, analyzing all 134 teams across the nation and their up-to-the-minute postseason chances. Run 10,000 simulations to view projected win totals, chances to win out, and chances to play and win the National Championship.

Introducing CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, FPM, whose sole goal is to analyze the strength of every team from 1 to 134 in college football. CFN’s FPM gives fans a one-of-a-kind look at the strength of each team in college football and their respective, up-to-the-minute chances to win a varying level of scenarios, from bowl eligibility to winning the National Championship.

2024 College Football Playoff Power Rankings

Use the table below to find where your favorite team ranks among its peers for a variety of scenarios. Scroll to the bottom of the page for a full glossary of what each term means and how we generated these numbers.

The Strength of Schedule numbers below are for each team’s preseason ranking (first = hardest) and their remaining strength of schedule.

TeamConf.W-LFPMTotal Season S.O.S.S.O.S. RankProj. W-LWin Out %Win Conf.%Make Playoff%Make CFP NC%Win CFP NC%
Ohio StateB1G10-233.5199.32310.0-2.0100.00%0.00%95.75%28.34%14.86%
OregonB1G12-033.0178.84212.0-0.0100.00%64.10%100.00%28.84%15.35%
TexasSEC11-132.8213.31511.0-1.0100.00%53.40%100.00%28.42%15.05%
GeorgiaSEC10-230.8225.51010.0-2.0100.00%46.60%92.14%27.13%13.74%
TennesseeSEC10-229.0172.54910.0-2.0100.00%0.00%100.00%11.46%5.54%
Penn StateB1G11-128.8183.03811.0-1.0100.00%35.90%98.78%11.08%5.25%
Notre DameInd.11-128.5162.35711.0-1.0100.00%0.00%100.00%11.62%5.62%
IndianaB1G11-127.8130.56711.0-1.0100.00%0.00%99.89%11.15%5.50%
South CarolinaSEC9-327.3200.5219.0-3.0100.00%0.00%20.32%10.97%4.97%
AlabamaSEC9-327.0230.399.0-3.0100.00%0.00%24.30%9.73%4.44%
Ole MissSEC9-326.0183.8379.0-3.0100.00%0.00%0.03%11.33%5.23%
SMUACC11-125.0142.56411.0-1.0100.00%53.80%53.80%9.76%4.35%
Texas A&MSEC8-424.8217.0148.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.05%0.00%0.00%
FloridaSEC7-524.0231.387.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Miami-FLACC10-223.0157.85810.0-2.0100.00%0.00%14.64%0.02%0.01%
LouisvilleACC8-423.0194.5288.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Arizona StateBig 127-222.8184.8358.8-3.219.98%50.80%50.80%0.03%0.03%
ClemsonACC9-322.8164.5549.0-3.0100.00%46.20%46.20%0.00%0.00%
Iowa StateBig 1210-222.0163.05510.0-2.0100.00%49.20%49.20%0.04%0.03%
LSUSEC8-422.0235.878.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ColoradoBig 129-321.8154.0619.0-3.0100.00%0.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%
IllinoisB1G9-321.0180.0419.0-3.0100.00%0.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%
MichiganB1G7-520.8254.017.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BYUBig 1210-220.5157.85810.0-2.0100.00%0.00%13.26%0.00%0.00%
MissouriSEC9-319.8178.8429.0-3.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TCUBig 128-419.3148.0638.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Boise StateMWC11-119.096.87811.0-1.0100.00%50.80%50.80%0.03%0.02%
Kansas StateBig 128-419.0182.8398.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Georgia TechACC7-519.0189.8337.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BaylorBig 128-418.8178.3448.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MinnesotaB1G7-518.5173.5487.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UNLVMWC10-218.393.38110.0-2.0100.00%49.20%49.20%0.05%0.01%
SyracuseACC9-318.3152.3629.0-3.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Texas TechBig 128-418.0174.8468.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IowaB1G8-417.8169.3518.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VanderbiltSEC6-617.8208.5166.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
KansasBig 125-716.8220.5135.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ArkansasSEC6-616.8189.5346.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
OklahomaSEC6-616.8238.566.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
West VirginiaBig 126-616.5181.0406.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
USCB1G6-616.0225.0116.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
DukeACC9-316.0128.8689.0-3.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NebraskaB1G6-615.5193.8306.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TulaneAAC9-315.090.5889.0-3.0100.00%50.60%0.11%0.00%0.00%
WashingtonB1G6-615.0198.5246.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Boston CollegeACC7-515.0164.8537.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ArmyAAC10-114.559.811910.8-1.278.10%49.40%9.23%0.00%0.00%
RutgersB1G7-514.5155.0607.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Virginia TechACC6-614.5196.5266.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
WisconsinB1G5-714.3194.0295.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MemphisAAC10-214.049.012910.0-2.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CaliforniaACC6-613.8130.8666.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NC StateACC6-612.8162.5566.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
LouisianaSun Belt10-212.045.513010.0-2.0100.00%57.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AuburnSEC5-711.8202.3185.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UCLAB1G5-711.5244.535.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
KentuckySEC4-811.3243.544.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Michigan StateB1G5-711.0200.3225.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VirginiaACC5-711.0176.8455.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Miami-OHMAC8-410.883.5988.0-4.0100.00%50.60%0.23%0.00%0.00%
Georgia SouthernSun Belt8-410.580.31008.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UtahBig 125-710.5174.3475.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
OhioMAC9-310.361.01189.0-3.0100.00%49.40%0.09%0.00%0.00%
Bowling GreenMAC7-510.079.31027.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CincinnatiBig 125-710.0191.0325.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
USFAAC6-610.085.3936.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ArizonaBig 124-89.8184.5364.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
North CarolinaACC6-69.8131.0656.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Jacksonville StateCUSA8-49.553.51258.0-4.0100.00%50.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%
PittsburghACC7-59.5170.0507.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Western KentuckyCUSA8-49.376.01088.0-4.0100.00%49.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MarshallSun Belt9-39.077.01079.0-3.0100.00%42.60%0.12%0.00%0.00%
HoustonBig 124-89.0202.8174.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
James MadisonSun Belt8-48.336.81338.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Colorado StateMWC8-48.094.3808.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UCFBig 124-87.8198.5244.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Oregon StatePac-125-77.3118.5695.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Texas StateSun Belt7-57.371.31147.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Washington StatePac-128-47.090.0898.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UTSAAAC6-67.076.01086.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
South AlabamaSun Belt6-66.879.81016.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BuffaloMAC8-46.843.51318.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Wake ForestACC4-86.8166.3524.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Fresno StateMWC6-66.891.8846.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NavyAAC8-36.598.5768.3-3.733.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Sam HoustonCUSA9-36.355.01239.0-3.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MarylandB1G4-86.3200.8204.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ToledoMAC8-46.361.81168.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
LibertyCUSA8-36.029.81348.0-3.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
StanfordACC3-95.5201.0193.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Northern IllinoisMAC7-55.083.8977.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
New MexicoMWC5-75.061.51175.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NorthwesternB1G4-84.8192.8314.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
San Jose StateMWC7-54.878.81037.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Air ForceMWC5-74.577.81065.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Oklahoma StateBig 123-94.0195.3273.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Appalachian StateSun Belt5-63.889.0925.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Western MichiganMAC6-63.878.31056.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
North TexasAAC6-63.584.3966.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Utah StateMWC4-83.392.8824.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Arkansas StateSun Belt7-53.369.51157.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Mississippi StateSEC2-103.0246.322.0-10.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UConnInd.8-43.051.01278.0-4.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Louisiana TechCUSA5-73.049.31285.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
HawaiiMWC5-72.078.51045.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TroySun Belt4-82.074.81104.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Florida StateACC2-101.5224.0122.0-10.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UL-MonroeSun Belt5-71.095.3795.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CharlotteAAC5-71.0102.3755.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Central MichiganMAC4-81.071.81124.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Coastal CarolinaSun Belt6-61.071.51136.0-6.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
New Mexico StateCUSA3-90.574.81103.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Eastern MichiganMAC5-70.359.01205.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
PurdueB1G1-110.0239.351.0-11.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ECUAAC7-50.043.31327.0-5.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FAUAAC3-90.057.01223.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ODUSun Belt5-70.0116.0725.0-7.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
RiceAAC4-80.092.5834.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Ball StateMAC3-9-0.597.5773.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
WyomingMWC3-9-0.5106.8743.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Georgia StateSun Belt3-9-0.889.8913.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UABAAC3-9-1.085.0943.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FIUCUSA4-8-1.553.01264.0-8.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AkronMAC3-9-1.8118.3703.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UTEPCUSA3-9-1.881.3993.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NevadaMWC3-10-2.0110.5733.0-10.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Middle TennesseeCUSA3-9-2.084.5953.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
San Diego StateMWC3-9-2.390.0893.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TempleAAC3-9-2.391.0863.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
UMassInd.2-10-3.091.5852.0-10.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TulsaAAC3-9-4.053.81243.0-9.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Kennesaw StateCUSA2-10-5.058.31212.0-10.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Southern MissSun Belt1-11-7.391.0861.0-11.0100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Kent StateMAC0-12-8.0116.5710.0-12.0#N/A0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

CFN FPM Glossary

W-L (Win-Loss): The current win-loss record of each team in the current season. It reflects the number of games won and lost up to the current date.

FPM (Football Playoff Meter): A metric that evaluates a team’s chances of making the college football playoffs. This number is the backing behind CFN’s FPM, generated by CFN’s Power Rankings, which are influenced by each team’s successes, current roster makeup, and projection toward future success in a given season.

Preseason S.O.S.: The rank of each team’s strength of schedule from the preseason, first is the hardest schedule; 134th is the easiest.

Remaining S.O.S.: The rank of each team’s remaining games on their schedule in terms of strength of schedule. If a team has played their toughest games to date, their schedule has gotten significantly easier. Again, first is the hardest, 134th is the easiest.

Projected W-L (Projected Win-Loss): The forecasted win-loss record for the team based on their remaining schedule and current performance metrics. It predicts how the team is expected to perform for the rest of the season.

Win Out %: The percentage chance that a team will win all their remaining games in the current season. This is calculated based on the team’s performance metrics and the difficulty of their remaining opponents.

Win Conf. % (Win Conference %): The probability that a team will win their conference championship. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, which considers various factors, including the team’s win-loss probabilities and the performance of other teams in the conference.

Make Playoff %: The likelihood that a team will make the College Football Playoffs. This is calculated using a proprietary simulation that factors in each team’s winning probabilities, schedule strength, and the complexities of Group of Five (G5) teams making the playoffs.

Make NC % (Make National Championship %): The probability that a team will reach the National Championship game. This uses a proprietary simulation to determine the team’s ability to win against other playoff-bound teams, considering the rankings and strengths of all teams in a given playoff field.

Win NC % (Win National Championship %): The percentage chance that a team will win the national championship once they have made it to the national championship game. This is derived using a proprietary simulation, factoring in the team’s strength relative to other playoff and championship-bound teams.