The dust from Week 6 has settled, and the playoff picture looks drastically different. With upsets shaking up the top tier, and top contenders continuing to fall out of the picture. The latest College Football Playoff projections reveal a new national order, one that no longer includes Arch Manning’s Texas Longhorns.
Projected Top 12 After Week 6
- Miami
- Ohio State
- Oregon
- Texas A&M
- Oklahoma
- Ole Miss
- Alabama
- Texas Tech
- Georgia
- Indiana
- Tennessee
- USF
Week 6 Movement
Miami’s ascent is no surprise now; its 28–22 road win over a ranked Florida State featured a dominant performance on both sides of the ball. The Hurricanes are showing balance: offense with spark, defense with backbone. Their completeness was able to be enough to jump Ohio State for now.
Ohio State still looks like the class of the field. The Buckeyes haven’t cracked under pressure, winning handily even in games where many expected stumbling. They have yet to win against a currently ranked opponent which is slightly concerning with their young offense.
Texas A&M is the breakout story of the season. After a dominant 31–9 win over Mississippi State, they’ve climbed into top-five polls and are now viewed by multiple outlets as serious championship contenders.
Texas Tech staking its claim as the Big 12’s voice in the playoff conversation is perhaps the boldest story. Their strength on defense and ability to win under pressure have earned them high marks.
Alabama and Ole Miss are reemerging as favorites to land in the end of the year top 12 as well. Alabama’s midseason trajectory is climbing, and Ole Miss refuses to be ignored with its high-powered offense. Georgia and Indiana are also in the mix as largely untested teams, but with favorable schedules in front of them. And USF, as the top Group-of-Five hopeful, holds that Group of 5 spot thanks to a strong résumé.
Bottom Line
Texas’s tumble from prime contender to fringe outsider is rare. Week 6 exposed too many flaws for the Longhorns and questions whether Coach Sarkisian can turn this team around this year. Failure in late-game execution and turnovers are not something the Longhorns do often. Now, they need perfection plus chaos above them to sneak back in.
Meanwhile, the rest of college football continues to thrive in chaos. Miami and Ohio State look like locks for national seed lines with the experienced staff’s and rosters. As for the rest, well only time will tell as we approach the mid season mark in the 2025 College Football Season.
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