Tre Johnson has emerged as the crown jewel of shooting prospects in a highly talented draft class. The Texas freshman’s volume, efficiency, and self-creation have scouts drooling over his NBA readiness despite defensive concerns. His shooting mechanics, confidence, and versatility position him not just as elite among peers, but potentially generational.
Breaking Down the Elite Shooting Package
A recent viral analysis by NBA draft expert Art Cummings has revealed the full breadth of Johnson’s shooting excellence. Cummings notes, “Tre Johnson is the best overall shooter and shot maker in the 2025 NBA Draft class. He’s quite honestly one of the best shooting/scoring prospects in a while, especially for a Freshman.”
Johnson’s catch-and-shoot numbers showcase his elite touch. He converts 40.8% overall on such attempts. More impressively, he shoots 41.6% on guarded catch-and-shoot threes, demonstrating his ability to fire accurately under pressure.
Tre Johnson is the best overall shooter and shot maker in the 2025 NBA Draft class. He’s quite honestly one of the best shooting/scoring prospects in a while especially for a Freshman.
Let’s take a look at his overall shooting package from three:
– 39.7% from three overall
-… pic.twitter.com/W4uGRagqOJ— Art Cummings (@ArtTakesNote) May 19, 2025
Johnson truly separates himself with his movement shooting. He converts an astounding 54.8% of threes coming off screens and has a 1.3 points per possession efficiency.
Transition scoring appears natural for Johnson, who shoots 44.2% on transition threes and maintains 52% efficiency overall in fastbreak situations. His 1.26 points per possession in transition ranks among the best for guards in this draft.
Perhaps most impressive is Johnson’s off-the-dribble shooting prowess. He converts 38.4% of three-pointers off the dribble, an elite mark for any prospect, let alone a freshman handling high usage and defensive attention.
His versatility extends beyond the arc. Johnson posted 41.8% efficiency as a pick and roll scorer, showing surprising post-up potential with a 50% conversion rate and 1.08 points per possession despite limited volume.
Playmaking remains underrated in Johnson’s portfolio. Cummings highlights his 16.5 AST% and 25.8% big-time passes rate, which suggests untapped potential as a facilitator.
Johnson’s historic freshman campaign places him in elite company. He became “one of only four Freshman ever to average 19+ PPG, make 80+ threes, shoot 38%+ from three, and have a 112+ offensive rating” alongside Jamal Murray, Malik Monk, and D’Angelo Russell.
His ceiling was displayed when he broke Kevin Durant’s Texas freshman scoring record with 39 points against Arkansas. Finishing with fifteen 20+ point games, Johnson’s scoring consistency rivaled top prospects Cooper Flagg (16) and Dylan Harper (17).
How Tre Johnson Compares to Fellow Elite Draft Shooters
While Johnson excels as a three-level scorer, the 2025 draft features other specialized sharpshooters who merit comparison. Chaz Lanier’s 44% three-point shooting at North Florida and 39.5% in the SEC demonstrates elite consistency, but he lacks Johnson’s self-creation ability.
Mark Sears dominated the NBA Combine shooting drills, leading all participants in off-dribble mid-range pull-ups and spot-up threes. However, his 6’1″ frame and limited defensive projection create a ceiling Johnson doesn’t face with his 6’6″ frame and 6’10” wingspan.
Walter Clayton Jr. shares Johnson’s fearless mentality but shot 36.3% on high volume at Florida. His smaller frame and limited switchability give Johnson a significant advantage in defensive potential despite both having clear limitations.
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Kon Knueppel rivals Johnson with his 39.5% three-point accuracy and advanced off-ball movement. While Knueppel’s 92% free-throw shooting edges Johnson’s 87%, he lacks the Texas guard’s creativity and isolation scoring.
Johnson’s combination of size, versatility, and self-creation separates him from specialists like Koby Brea, who shot an impressive 50% from three but functions primarily as a movement shooter rather than a complete offensive initiator.
Johnson’s projected top-6 draft position reflects this comprehensive package. While questions about his defensive engagement and shot selection persist, his combination of shooting versatility and scoring instincts makes him one of this draft class’s most impactful offensive players.
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