The Wisconsin Badgers hold a slight edge in their all-time series with the Iowa Hawkeyes at 49-46-2. However, the Hawkeyes have come out on top in the last two battles for the Heartland Trophy. Will Iowa make it three in a row in Week 10?
Our Wisconsin vs. Iowa prediction dives into the matchup, providing essential betting insights to help you place the smartest wagers.
Wisconsin vs. Iowa Betting Preview
All Wisconsin vs. Iowa odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, Nov. 1, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Iowa -2.5 - Spread
Iowa -3 - Moneyline
Iowa -148, Wisconsin +124 - Over/Under
41 points - Game Time
7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 2 - Location
Kinnick Stadium | Iowa City, Iowa - Predicted Weather at Kick
52 degrees, 6 mph winds, light rain - How To Watch
NBC
Attention all bettors: the over has hit in four of Wisconsin’s last six games and seven of Iowa’s last eight. Do with that information what you will.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
As far as the spread, the Badgers have struggled against the Hawkeyes, going 1-4 ATS in the previous five matchups. However, they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven contests on the road, so the 2024 duel could be closer than expected.
Wisconsin’s Winning Probability
Both programs are a win away from going bowling, but Wisconsin’s path is notably more difficult. Outside of the season finale against Minnesota, the Badgers own sub-50% win probabilities for the rest of the year.
- at Iowa: 45.7%
- vs. Oregon: 16.5%
- at Nebraska: 46.2%
- vs. Minnesota: 61.9%
Iowa’s Winning Probability
Meanwhile, the Hawkeyes don’t have a win probability under 50%, which is highlighted by two 70+ rates on the road against UCLA and Maryland.
- vs. Wisconsin: 54.3%
- at UCLA: 75.3%
- at Maryland: 73.0%
- vs. Nebraska: 55.6%
Prediction for Wisconsin vs. Iowa
After seeing their three-game conference win streak snapped by the Penn State Nittany Lions last week, the Badgers are looking to reset with a victory against the Hawkeyes. But it won’t be a walk in the park, as Kirk Ferentz’s team just steamrolled Northwestern 40-14.
Iowa’s offense has cracked the 40-point mark in two of its last three outings, largely thanks to the relentless running of Kaleb Johnson (146 carries, 1,144 yards, and 16 touchdowns this season).
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With Brendan Sullivan stepping in for Cade McNamara, who’s faced his share of struggles, Iowa’s offense could reach even greater heights. Sullivan closed last week’s game by completing 9 of 14 passes for 79 yards and adding eight carries for 41 yards and a touchdown.
“We decided during the week to rotate Brendan in on the third or fourth series,” Ferentz explained. “It worked out well. He did a nice job, and Cade was a bit shaken up after a hit.”
Sullivan now sits atop the depth chart, with McNamara sidelined entering Week 10. While Sullivan might not overwhelm Wisconsin’s tough defense, his dual-threat abilities combined with Johnson’s powerful ground game could be too much for the Badgers.
On the other side, Wisconsin faces its own QB challenge after losing starter Tyler Van Dyke for the season, putting sophomore Braedyn Locke in the spotlight. Locke has kept the offense steady but has only completed 57.6% of his passes, tallying seven touchdowns against six interceptions.
Take Iowa to win outright, cover the spread, and for both teams to score enough to push the total over.
Prediction: Iowa 27, Wisconsin 20
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