The USC Trojans boast a 20-game series lead over the Washington Huskies (51-31-4), but Washington claimed victory in the last two encounters. Can the Trojans break the streak in Week 10?
Our USC vs. Washington prediction dives into the matchup, offering key betting insights to shape your wagers.
USC vs. Washington Betting Preview
All USC vs. Washington odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, Nov. 1, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
USC -1.5 - Spread
USC -2 - Moneyline
USC -122, Washington +102 - Over/Under
55.5 points - Game Time
7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 2 - Location
Husky Stadium | Seattle - Predicted Weather at Kick
51 degrees, 6 mph winds, partly cloudy - How To Watch
BTN
After opening as a pick ’em, bettors have pushed the Trojans to a near-field goal favorite. That said, USC is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games against Washington and 1-7 ATS in its last eight road bouts.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
So, the Huskies are the play ATS, right? Not so fast, as they are 2-5 ATS in their previous seven contests.
The under could be the most appealing play, having hit in seven of Washington’s last nine games. Perhaps more importantly, the total has failed to reach the posted number in five of the last six Washington-USC clashes.
USC’s Winning Probability
The Trojans just snapped a three-game skid by throttling the Rutgers Scarlet Knights 42-20. The good times could keep coming, as according to the FPM, USC owns 50% or higher win probabilities in its next three games.
- at Washington: 51.8%
- vs. Nebraska: 53.4%
- at UCLA: 74.6%
- vs. Notre Dame: 35.9%
Washington’s Winning Probability
While the Trojans are on the up and up, the Huskies appear to be bottoming out. Not only have they lost their last two matchups, but they aren’t favored to win a game until the season finale vs. the UCLA Bruins.
- vs. USC: 48.2%
- at Penn State: 8.1%
- at Oregon: 5.3%
- vs. UCLA: 75.3%
Prediction for USC vs. Washington
USC heads into this matchup with renewed confidence and a shot to flip its road misfortunes. Despite holding late leads in tough environments at Michigan, Minnesota, and Maryland, the Trojans fell short each time, unable to close out and dropping all three road games.
Their only win away from the Coliseum came in a Week 1 neutral-site clash against LSU. Now, for the first time all season, USC avoids back-to-back cross-country trips — a factor that might just shift the odds in their favor.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Washington, meanwhile, has hit a rough patch after a strong start, losing four of its last six to settle at 4-4. While undefeated at home, three of those wins came against sub-.500 teams.
Returning to Seattle after two tough road losses at Iowa and Indiana — where they were outscored 71-33 — the Huskies hope to reset. QB Will Rogers, back in his element, will look to rebound after a challenging game last week, where he threw two interceptions and no touchdowns for the first time this season.
At home, Rogers has been sharp, posting 10 touchdowns to just one interception and boasting a 73.9% completion rate. But pressure is building on a Washington team navigating a transitional season.
Meanwhile, USC’s Miller Moss is quietly finding his groove, tallying 16 touchdowns to six interceptions in his debut season. After back-to-back 300-yard games, Moss seems to be hitting his stride at just the right moment.
Though Washington averages slightly more yards per game than USC (435.9 to 435.1), the Trojans are scoring 10 points more per game (33.3 to 23.3). Why?
The Huskies struggle on key downs, ranking near the bottom nationally on third-down (37.0%, 98th) and red-zone (77.4%, 110th) conversion rates, stalling out when it counts. USC, meanwhile, ranks 20th on third down (46.4%) and 11th in the red zone (93.8%).
Take the Trojans to win and cover on the road, with the under looking likely to hit again.
Prediction: USC 28, Washington 20
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