The USC Trojans hold a 20-game series lead on the Washington Huskies (51-31-4), but Washington won the last two matchups. Can the Trojans end the skid in Week 10?
Our USC vs. Washington prediction breaks down the game, providing essential betting insights to guide your wagers.
USC vs. Washington Betting Preview
All USC vs. Washington odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Tuesday, Oct. 29, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
USC -1.5 - Spread
USC -2.5 - Moneyline
USC -135, Washington +114 - Over/Under
55.5 points - Game Time
7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 2 - Location
Husky Stadium | Seattle - Predicted Weather at Kick
51 degrees, 6 mph winds, partly cloudy - How To Watch
BTN
After opening as a pick ’em, bettors have pushed the Trojans to a near-field goal favorite. That said, USC is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games against Washington and 1-7 ATS in its last eight road bouts.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
So, the Huskies are the play ATS, right? Not so fast, as they are 2-5 ATS in their previous seven contests.
The under could be the most appealing play, having hit in seven of Washington’s last nine games. Perhaps more importantly, the total has failed to reach the posted number in five of the last six Washington-USC clashes.
USC’s Winning Probability
The Trojans just snapped a three-game skid by throttling the Rutgers Scarlet Knights 42-20. The good times could keep coming, as according to the FPM, USC owns 50% or higher win probabilities in its next three games.
- at Washington: 51.8%
- vs. Nebraska: 53.4%
- at UCLA: 74.6%
- vs. Notre Dame: 35.9%
Washington’s Winning Probability
While the Trojans are on the up and up, the Huskies appear to be bottoming out. Not only have they lost their last two matchups, but they aren’t favored to win a game until the season finale vs. the UCLA Bruins.
- vs. USC: 48.2%
- at Penn State: 8.1%
- at Oregon: 5.3%
- vs. UCLA: 75.3%
Prediction for USC vs. Washington
USC heads into this matchup with confidence and a chance to turn around its road woes. Despite holding late leads in tough environments at Michigan, Minnesota, and Maryland, the Trojans couldn’t close out, dropping all three road games.
Their only win away from the Coliseum came in a neutral-site showdown with LSU in Week 1. But for the first time all season, USC avoids crossing time zones in back-to-back games — a factor that could finally tip the scales in their favor.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Washington, on the other hand, has stumbled after a strong start, losing four of its last six to sit at 4-4. The Huskies are undefeated at home, yet three of those four wins were against teams below .500.
After two straight road games against Iowa and Indiana, where Washington was outscored 71-33, the Huskies return to Seattle looking to reset. QB Will Rogers will be back in his comfort zone after a rough outing last week, tossing two interceptions with no touchdowns for the first time all season.
While his home splits — 10 TDs, just one pick, and a 73.9% completion rate — speak to his potential to rally the offense, the pressure is mounting for a Washington team in transition.
Meanwhile, USC’s Miller Moss has been quietly building his own momentum, recording 16 TDs to just six INTs in his debut season. Coming off two 300-yard games, he’s finding his rhythm at the right time.
Although Washington averages more yards per game than USC (435.9 to 435.1), the Trojans are scoring 10 more points per contest (33.3 to 23.3). How?
The Huskies deploy one of the worst third-down (37.0%, 98th) and red-zone (77.4%, 110th) offenses in the nation, stalling out when it matters most. Meanwhile, USC is 20th (46.4%) and 11th (93.8%), respectively.
Take the Trojans to win and cover on the road, with the under poised to hit once again.
Prediction: USC 28, Washington 20
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