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    UNLV’s Playoff Chances: Win the Mountain West Championship Game vs. Boise State

    The UNLV Rebels punched their ticket to the Mountain West Championship Game against Boise State, where a spot in the College Football Playoffs will be on the line.

    The UNLV Rebels are in the Mountain West Championship Game following a dominant game against the Nevada Wolf Pack. Now, with their opponent set, the rematch between UNLV and the Boise State Broncos may be the most important Group of Five championship game of all time.

    Let it be known, for UNLV’s playoff chances and Boise State’s, the MWC Championship could be seen as a playoff elimination game. Or simply, a playoff play-in contest.

    CFN CFB Playoff Predictor
    College Football Network’s College Football Playoff Predictor is a tool that allows you to play out various weekly scenarios to see how the CFP picture changes with each scenario.

    UNLV’s Mountain West Championship Chances

    The Rebels punched their ticket to the Mountain West Championship Game by defeating Nevada in Week 14, 38-14. UNLV utilized impressive performances from both their offense and defense in dismantling their rivals to earn the second-place finish in the Mountain West.

    Next up is a rematch against Boise State. If you remember, the Rebels and Broncos played a thriller earlier in the year in which BSU edged UNLV, 29-24, in a game that wasn’t decided until the final whistle.

    MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor

    Now, UNLV will be given another chance to defeat Boise State, only this time, the stakes are much higher. And right now, the CFN Playoff Predictor gives the Rebels a pretty good chance to upset the Broncos.

    Currently, the CFN Predictor gives UNLV a 49.2% chance to beat Boise State in the MWC Championship Game.

    The Mountain West’s outright title and what appears to be a spot in the College Football Playoffs will be on the line in this outing.

    How Can UNLV Make the Playoffs?

    In this scenario where UNLV takes on Boise State, it’s important to note that in the Week 13 iteration of the College Football Playoff rankings, only three Group of Five programs were ranked inside the top 25.

    • Boise State checked in at No. 11
    • Tulane was ranked No. 17
    • UNLV clocked in at No. 22

    Given the fact that Tulane lost on Thanksgiving night to Memphis, they’re likely going to be removed from the rankings and the next closest team with anything left to improve their standing with would be Army. However, following Army’s brutal loss at the hands of Notre Dame, it’s all but clear that the winner of the Mountain West will have the distinction of being the highest-ranked Group of Five conference champion.

    And as it stands, the winner of the game between UNLV and Boise State will earn the right to be the lone G5 representative in the playoffs.

    So, there you have it, UNLV fans. Win against Boise State and earn the right to be the Mountain West Champions in 2024.

    And play your way into the College Football Playoffs at the same time.

    College Football Network has you covered with the latest from the ACCBig TenBig 12SEC, and every Group of Five conference and FBS Independent program.

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