This rivalry is steeped in history. UCLA and Washington have clashed on the gridiron 74 times, with UCLA maintaining a slim advantage at 41-33. Since 2000, the Bruins have largely controlled the series, claiming victory in 12 of the last 17 meetings.
For Washington, protecting their home field is more than a goal—it’s a matter of pride. For UCLA, it’s another opportunity in a season full of promise, a pivotal moment to strengthen their push toward the postseason. Our UCLA vs. Washington prediction breaks down the Bruins’ prospects of sustaining their mid-season momentum.
UCLA vs. Washington Betting Preview
All UCLA vs. Washington odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, Nov. 15, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Washington -3.5 - Spread
Washington -4.5 - Moneyline
Washington -185, UCLA +154 - Over/Under
46.5 points - Game time
9 p.m. ET - Location
Husky Stadium | Seattle, WA - Predicted Weather at Kick
45 degrees, mostly cloudy, 6 mph winds - How To Watch
Fox
The Huskies originally opened as over a touchdown favorite at -8, but that number has dropped drastically just above a field goal. The total has experienced less movement as it opened at 45.4 and has climbed slightly to 47.
The moneyline has been volatile as Washington has been anywhere from a -150 moneyline favorite up to -195. The Huskies currently sit at -170, but that feels like a number that will continue to move.
UCLA’s Winning Probability
According to CFN’s Football Power Metric, UCLA has a 39.4% chance of defeating Washington on Saturday. It’s the lowest chance of victory in their remaining three games and the least likely for the Bruins to capture their sixth victory of the season to become bowl-eligible.
- at Washington: 39.4%
- vs. USC: 49.4%
- vs. Fresno State: 81.1%
Washington’s Winning Probability
According to the FPM, Washington has a 60.6% chance of defeating UCLA on Saturday.
If Washington splits their two remaining games as suggested by the CFN FPM, the Huskies will finish at 6-6, their worst record since 2021, when they finished 4-8.
- vs. UCLA: 60.6%
- at Oregon: 5.6%
Prediction for UCLA vs. Washington
The UCLA Bruins, riding a wave of momentum, head north to face the Washington Huskies in Week 12—a matchup that could have significant postseason implications. With three straight victories, DeShaun Foster’s squad has hit its stride, inching closer to bowl eligibility.
Meanwhile, Washington’s season has taken a sharp turn under head coach Jedd Fisch. The Huskies have lost three of their last four games, but a return to Husky Stadium—where they boast a perfect 5-0 record this year—offers a chance to regain their footing.
The last meeting between these teams in 2022 was a thriller, with the Bruins claiming a 40-32 victory in a high-scoring battle that showcased the competitive fire of both programs.
While UCLA has shown improvement recently, their offense has struggled for much of the season, averaging just 17.4 points and barely surpassing 300 total yards per game. Defensively, the issues persist, as the Bruins allow 29 points and 367 yards per game.
Quarterback Ethan Garbers has thrown for 1,960 yards and 12 touchdowns, but the Bruins’ ground game has been lackluster. T.J. Harden leads the rushing attack with 351 yards and a single touchdown on 93 carries, reflecting a unit that’s struggled to find consistency.
Washington, on the other hand, has built its identity on a stout pass defense, allowing just 149.8 passing yards per game—one of the nation’s best marks. Their run defense, however, has been a weak spot, surrendering an average of 162.3 rushing yards per contest.
This defensive gap could, in theory, create opportunities for UCLA. However, the Bruins’ running game has been one of the worst in the country, averaging only 89.1 rushing yards per game on a paltry 3.2 yards per carry.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Given these dynamics, Washington’s dominance at home and UCLA’s offensive inconsistencies tilt the scales in favor of the Huskies. I’m picking Washington to not only secure the victory but also cover the spread, as their strong pass defense should neutralize UCLA’s attack and pave the way for a solid win.
Prediction: Washington 23, UCLA 16
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