The UCLA Bruins, riding a wave of resurgence, head north to face the Washington Huskies in Week 12, a clash that could shape their postseason hopes. With three consecutive wins under their belt, DeShaun Foster’s Bruins have found their rhythm, inching closer to bowl eligibility.
For Washington, the season has taken a rough turn. Under head coach Jedd Fisch, the Huskies have stumbled, dropping three of their last four games. Yet, as they return to Husky Stadium — where they hold a perfect 5-0 record this season — the opportunity to steady the ship awaits.
This rivalry runs deep. UCLA and Washington have battled on the field 74 times, with UCLA holding a narrow historical edge at 41-33. Since the turn of the millennium, the Bruins have dominated the series, winning 12 of the last 17 matchups.
The last time these two met, back in 2022, was a reminder of the competitive spirit that fuels both programs. The Bruins defeated the Huskies 40-32 in a high-scoring affair.
For Washington, defending their home turf is more than just a necessity — it’s a point of pride. For UCLA, it’s another step in a season on the rise, a chance to continue their journey toward the postseason. Our UCLA vs. Washington prediction evaluates the Bruins’ chances of keeping this mid-season surge alive.
UCLA vs. Washington Betting Preview
All UCLA vs. Washington odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Nov. 11, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Washington -3.5 - Spread
Washington -3.5 - Moneyline
UCLA +140, Washington -170 - Over/Under
47 points - Game time
9 p.m. ET - Location
Husky Stadium | Seattle, WA - Predicted Weather at Kick
45 degrees, mostly cloudy, 6 mph winds - How To Watch
Fox
The Huskies originally opened as over a touchdown favorite at -8, but that number has dropped drastically just above a field goal. The total has experienced less movement as it opened at 45.4 and has climbed slightly to 47.
The moneyline has been volatile as Washington has been anywhere from a -150 moneyline favorite up to -195. The Huskies currently sit at -170, but that feels like a number that will continue to move.
UCLA’s Winning Probability
According to CFN’s Football Power Metric, UCLA has a 39.4% chance of defeating Washington on Saturday. It’s the lowest chance of victory in their remaining three games and the least likely for the Bruins to capture their sixth victory of the season to become bowl-eligible.
- at Washington: 39.4%
- vs. USC: 49.4%
- vs. Fresno State: 81.1%
Washington’s Winning Probability
According to the FPM, Washington has a 60.6% chance of defeating UCLA on Saturday.
If Washington splits their two remaining games as suggested by the CFN FPM, the Huskies will finish at 6-6, their worst record since 2021, when they finished 4-8.
- vs. UCLA: 60.6%
- at Oregon: 5.6%
Prediction for UCLA vs. Washington
While they’ve been better as of late, UCLA’s offense has been underwhelming this season, averaging just 17.4 points and barely crossing the 300-yard mark per game. On defense, the struggles deepen, with the Bruins giving up 29 points on 367 yards per game.
Quarterback Ethan Garbers has thrown for 1,960 yards and 12 touchdowns, but UCLA’s ground game remains a challenge, with T.J. Harden leading the team at 351 yards and one touchdown on 93 carries.
On the other side, Washington has built an identity around a solid pass defense, allowing just 149.8 passing yards per game, one of the best marks in the country. The ground defense, however, remains vulnerable, giving up 162.3 rushing yards on average.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Theoretically, this should open up an opportunity for UCLA. But the Bruins’ run game has struggled all season, ranking near the bottom nationally at 89.1 rushing yards per game on a 3.2 yards-per-carry average.
Despite the matchup dynamics, Washington’s strength at home and UCLA’s offensive inconsistency suggest an edge for the Huskies. I’ll take Washington to not only secure the win but to cover the spread, believing they can handle UCLA’s offense and continue its standout play against the pass.
Prediction: Washington 23, UCLA 16
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