The Florida Gators and Tulane Green Wave have actually faced off 21 times, with the Gators owning a 13-6-2 all-time advantage. However, the two sides haven’t met since 1984, with Florida winning the last 11 matchups.
Our Tulane vs. Florida prediction breaks down everything you need to know — from the latest betting odds to what’s at stake for both teams as they battle in the Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl.
Tulane vs. Florida Gasparilla Bowl Betting Preview
All Tulane vs. Florida odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Dec. 14, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Florida -9 - Spread
Florida -14 - Moneyline
Florida -600, Tulane +440 - Over/Under
49.5 points - Game Time
3:30 p.m. ET, Friday, Dec. 20 - Location
Raymond James Stadium | Tampa, Fla. - Predicted Weather at Kick
70 degrees, 6 mph winds, mostly sunny - How To Watch
ESPN2
While the Green Wave have covered in three of four games as a underdogs, they’ve lost straight up to both Power Four conference opponents they’ve played this season — 34-27 to the Kansas State Wildcats and 34-19 to the Oklahoma Sooners.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
Although the sub-50-point total seems a tad low, the Gators have gone under in three straight contests due to their grind-it-out style offensive approach. With Tulane suffering turmoil at QB, the under could be a juicy play.
Tulane’s Winning Probability
The Green Wave’s Gasparilla Bowl appearance is their sixth bowl berth in seven years, with the previous five coming under head coach Willie Fritz. They’ve gone 3-2 in that span, and if the FPM’s win probability is anything to go off of, they’ll likely make it 3-3 on Dec. 20.
- at Florida: 24.9%
Florida’s Winning Probability
After two middling-at-best seasons under Billy Napier, the Gators are finally on the upswing. They finished with their first winning season since 2020 (7-5) and hope to keep the momentum going against Tulane.
- vs. Tulane: 75.1%
Prediction for Tulane vs. Florida
Florida has emerged as a reliable betting option this season, covering the spread in eight of its last nine games, including six outright wins as underdogs. The Gators closed their regular season in dominant fashion, crushing Florida State 31-11 as 17-point favorites.
Powered by five-star true freshman DJ Lagway, Florida challenged SEC powers like Georgia and Tennessee, showcasing a battle-tested résumé strengthened by one of the nation’s toughest schedules.
In contrast, Tulane stumbled down the stretch, losing its last two games outright as favorites, including a 35-14 defeat to Army in the AAC title game.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
While the Green Wave impressed early in the year, their weaker schedule and uncertainty at QB — starter Darien Mensah has transferred to Duke, and backup Ty Thompson has attempted just 11 attempts all season — raise concerns.
After being considered for the North Carolina job, head coach Jon Sumrall ultimately signed a contract extension with Tulane. The future is bright in New Orleans, but the future is now for Lagway and the Gators. Back Florida to win and cover rather comfortably against its Group of Five opponent.
Prediction: Florida 34, Tulane 13
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