Following the College Football Playoff Selection Committee’s final rankings, the bracket is officially set. What is the Texas Longhorns’ path to the national championship?
Texas College Football Playoff First Round Prediction vs. Clemson
Following Texas’ SEC title match loss to the Georgia Bulldogs, Steve Sarkisian and Co. dropped to the No. 5 seed in the final rankings. As a result, they drew the No. 12 in the first round: the Clemson Tigers, the 2024 ACC champions.
- Win Probability: 75.3%
- CFN Spread: Texas -9
Texas College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Projection vs. No. 4 Arizona State
Assuming the Longhorns take care of business against the Tigers, they’ll face the No. 4-seeded Arizona State Sun Devils in the quarterfinal.
- Win Probability: 66.4%
- CFN Spread: Texas -6
Texas College Football Playoff Semifinal Projection vs. No. 9 Tennessee, No. 8 Ohio State, or No. 1 Oregon
This is where things get less predictable.
After knocking off Arizona State, Texas will take on one of three teams: No. 9 Tennessee Volunteers, No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes, or No. 1 Oregon Ducks.
- Win Probability vs. Tennessee: 53.4%
- Win Probability vs. Ohio State: 49.4%
- Win Probability vs. Oregon: 44.4%
- CFN Spread vs. Tennessee: Texas -2
- CFN Spread vs. Ohio State: Ohio State -0.5
- CFN Spread vs. Oregon: Oregon -3
Texas College Football Playoff National Championship Projection vs. the Field
Of course, if Texas makes the national championship, they’d play whoever ran the gauntlet on the other side of the field. The easiest draw? Likely the Boise State Broncos. However, if they made it that far, there would clearly be no push over.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
- Win Probability vs. No. 7 Notre Dame: 55.6%
- Win Probability vs. No. 10 Indiana: 60.6%
- Win Probability vs. No. 2 Georgia: 49.6%
- Win Probability vs. No. 6 Penn State: 55.6%
- Win Probability vs. No. 11 SMU: 68.8%
- Win Probability vs. No. 3 Boise State: 76.6%
- CFN Spread vs. No. 7 Notre Dame: Texas -3
- CFN Spread vs. No. 10 Indiana: Texas -3.5
- CFN Spread vs. No. 2 Georgia: Pick ’em
- CFN Spread vs. No. 6 Penn State: Texas -3
- CFN Spread vs. No. 11 SMU: Texas -7
- CFN Spread vs. No. 3 Boise State: Texas -10
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