The 2024 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl actually isn’t the first meeting between the Oklahoma Sooners and Navy Midshipmen. The two faced off once before, with Navy taking home the 10-0 victory in 1956.
Who will come out on top this time around? Our Oklahoma vs. Navy prediction breaks down everything you need to know — from the latest betting odds to what’s at stake for both teams as they battle in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl.
Oklahoma vs. Navy Armed Forces Bowl Betting Preview
All Oklahoma vs. Navy odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Wednesday, Dec. 18, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Oklahoma -10.5 - Spread
Oklahoma -6.5 - Moneyline
Oklahoma -230, Navy +190 - Over/Under
43.5 points - Game Time
Noon ET, Friday, Dec. 27 - Location
Amon G. Carter Stadium | Fort Worth, Texas - Predicted Weather at Kick
TBD - How To Watch
ESPN
The Midshipmen have been hot this season, going 8-3 against the spread in their 11 games and pushing the total over in all three of its non-conference contests. That said, the under has hit in four of their last five matchups overall.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
Meanwhile, Oklahoma games have gone over in four of the past six. Spread-wise, the program has performed better than its 6-6 overall record might indicate, as it went 4-2 ATS as the favorite.
Oklahoma’s Winning Probability
After the Brent Venables kicked off with a measly 6-7 record, the Sooners seemingly found their stride, going 10-3 last year. However, they fell back to Earth with QB issues in 2024, winning six games once again.
While the future is murky, they can at least finish with a positive record by defeating Navy, which the FPM expects will happen.
- at Navy: 78.1%
Navy’s Winning Probability
The Midshipmen have enjoyed their best campaign since 2019, in head coach Brian Newberry’s second season, no less. Their win over the Army Black Knights was arguably their best of the year, but upsetting Oklahoma in the Armed Forced Bowl would be the cherry on top.
- vs. Oklahoma: 21.9%
Prediction for Oklahoma vs. Navy
Navy stormed out of the gates, covering the spread in all five FBS matchups while remaining undefeated through six games. Then came a 51-14 dismantling at the hands of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, a loss that seemed to drain their momentum.
The Midshipmen stumbled into a stunning 24-10 upset against the underdog Rice Owls and were later shut out 35-0 by the Tulane Green Wave.
Yet, Oklahoma’s season has been much more of a mess, punctuated by inconsistent play and a string of portal departures, including QB Jackson Arnold, TE Bauer Sharp, and several WRs.
MORE: 2024 College Football Bowl Game Opt-Out Tracker
Backup QB Michael Hawkins Jr., who was benched midseason, will try to spark an offense that ranks 94th in scoring and 121st in total yards. Navy, meanwhile, thrives in adversity, boasting a 5-1 bowl record in their last six appearances.
With no significant portal losses, star QB Blake Horvath seemingly healthy, and their triple-option attack intact, the Midshipmen look ready to capitalize on Oklahoma’s morale and depth chart issues and end their season with a 10th victory.
Prediction: Navy 27, Oklahoma 20
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