The all-time series between the Miami Hurricanes and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets sits dead even at 14-14, with Tech pulling off a 23-20 upset over the ‘Canes in 2023. But this year, they’ll need every bit of magic they can find to repeat that feat in 2024.
Join us for a dive into Saturday’s ACC showdown with our breakdown of the latest odds, spread insights, and our Miami vs. Georgia Tech prediction.
Miami (FL) vs. Georgia Tech Betting Preview
All Miami (FL) vs. Georgia Tech odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Thursday, Nov. 7, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Miami -11 - Spread
Miami -11 - Moneyline
Miami -395, Georgia Tech +310 - Over/Under
64 points - Game Time
Noon ET, Saturday, Nov. 9 - Location
Bobby Dodd Stadium | Atlanta - Predicted Weather at Kick
68 degrees, 10 mph winds, showers - How To Watch
ESPN
With one of the highest totals of the week, the under will be a hot play. But should it be?
- The over has hit in 10 of Miami’s last 12 games.
- The under has hit in nine of Georgia Tech’s last 11.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
However, the programs’ against-the-spread trends point the same way: Georgia Tech ATS.
- The Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings with the Yellow Jackets.
- The Yellow Jackets are 5-0-1 ATS in their previous six home bouts.
Miami’s Winning Probability
The ‘Canes are 9-0 and the favorite in the ACC. With win probabilities over 79% in each of their final three games, they should have no issue walking into a top-four seed in the expanded College Football Playoff.
- at Georgia Tech: 79.6%
- vs. Wake Forest: 94.8%
- at Syracuse: 83.0%
Georgia Tech’s Winning Probability
After Geoff Collins drove the program into the ground with three straight three-win campaigns, Brent Key has returned the Yellow Jackets to respectability. Last year, they pulled off six regular-season wins and claimed their first bowl victory since 2016. Now, at 5-4, they’re just one win away from bowling once more.
However, Georgia Tech’s next win won’t come easily, with Miami, NC State, and Georgia comprising its final three opponents.
- vs. Miami: 20.4%
- vs. NC State: 63.1%
- at Georgia: 6.9%
Prediction for Miami (FL) vs. Georgia Tech
Though the Hurricanes remain unbeaten, it hasn’t been a cakewalk, especially within the ACC. Close calls against Virginia Tech (38-34), Cal (39-38), Louisville (52-45), and Duke (53-31) show they’ve been pushed—and I’d expect Georgia Tech to do the same, with one big caveat.
Starting QB Haynes King has missed the last two games, both losses to Notre Dame and Virginia Tech, due to a right shoulder injury. Coming off a bye, Key is “very hopeful” King will be back under center in Week 10.
The difference with King in the lineup has been significant. The Yellow Jackets scored 24+ points in all but one game (19) with King leading the offense; without him, they managed just 13 and 6 points in their last two games.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Of course, returning against a Miami defense that’s tied for 11th in sacks per game (3.00) isn’t ideal. Opponents have had to rely on the pass to keep up with Cam Ward and company, as the Hurricanes rank eighth in run defense (95.2 YPG). Can King’s shoulder hold up under that kind of pressure?
I wouldn’t put my money on it. Take Miami to win and cover, with the total going under, especially if Georgia Tech rolls out Zach Pyron and Aaron Philo at QB.
Prediction: Miami 38, Georgia Tech 16
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