The Miami Hurricanes and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are even in the all-time series (14-14), with Tech knocking off the ‘Canes in 2023 (23-20). However, they’ll need all the magic they can muster to achieve the same result in 2024.
Dive into Saturday’s ACC action with our breakdown of the latest odds, spread insights, and our take on the Miami vs. Georgia Tech prediction.
Miami (FL) vs. Georgia Tech Betting Preview
All Miami (FL) vs. Georgia Tech odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Miami -11 - Spread
Miami -11 - Moneyline
Miami -425, Georgia Tech +330 - Over/Under
64 points - Game Time
Noon ET, Saturday, Nov. 9 - Location
Bobby Dodd Stadium | Atlanta - Predicted Weather at Kick
68 degrees, 10 mph winds, showers - How To Watch
ESPN
With one of the highest totals of the week, the under will be a hot play. But should it be?
- The over has hit in 10 of Miami’s last 12 games.
- The under has hit in nine of Georgia Tech’s last 11.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
However, the programs’ against-the-spread trends point the same way: Georgia Tech ATS.
- The Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings with the Yellow Jackets.
- The Yellow Jackets are 5-0-1 ATS in their previous six home bouts.
Miami’s Winning Probability
The ‘Canes are 9-0 and the favorite in the ACC. With win probabilities over 79% in each of their final three games, they should have no issue walking into a top-four seed in the expanded College Football Playoff.
- at Georgia Tech: 79.6%
- vs. Wake Forest: 94.8%
- at Syracuse: 83.0%
Georgia Tech’s Winning Probability
After Geoff Collins drove the program into the ground with three straight three-win campaigns, Brent Key has returned the Yellow Jackets to respectability. Last year, they pulled off six regular-season wins and claimed their first bowl victory since 2016. Now, at 5-4, they’re just one win away from bowling once more.
However, Georgia Tech’s next win won’t come easily, with Miami, NC State, and Georgia comprising its final three opponents.
- vs. Miami: 20.4%
- vs. NC State: 63.1%
- at Georgia: 6.9%
Prediction for Miami (FL) vs. Georgia Tech
Although the Hurricanes are undefeated, it hasn’t been easy, especially in the ACC. Virginia Tech (38-34), Cal (39-38), Louisville (52-45), and Duke (53-31) have given them a run for their money, and I expect the same for the Yellow Jackets — with a caveat.
Starting QB Haynes King has missed the past two games, losses to Notre Dame and Virginia Tech, with a right shoulder injury. Coming off a bye, Key is “very hopeful” King will be under center in Week 10.
The splits with and without King have been drastic. The Yellow Jackets scored 24+ in all but one game (19) with King at the helm; they scored 13 and 6 in the last two outings.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Of course, facing a Miami defense tied for 11th in sacks per game (3.00) in your return from injury isn’t ideal. Opposing teams have needed to air it out to keep pace with Cam Ward and Co., as the ‘Canes rank eighth in run defense (95.2 YPG). Can King’s shoulder hold up?
I wouldn’t bet my hard-earned money on it. Thus, take Miami to win and cover with the total going under, especially if Georgia Tech trots out a combination of Zach Pyron and Aaron Philo at QB.
Prediction: Miami 38, Georgia Tech 16
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