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    Miami (OH) vs. Colorado State Prediction: Brett Gabbert Goes Out with a Win Against Rams

    After a humbling defeat in the MAC Championship, Brett Gabbert looks to close out his career with a victory. Here’s our Miami (OH) vs. Colorado State prediction.

    The Miami RedHawks and Colorado State Rams have faced off twice before, with Miami claiming victories in both 2003 and 2010.

    Who takes the edge this time? Our Miami (OH) vs. Colorado State prediction dives into everything you need to know—from the latest betting odds to what’s on the line for both teams as they clash in the Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl.

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    Miami (OH) vs. Colorado State Arizona Bowl Betting Preview

    All Miami (OH) vs. Colorado State odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Dec. 28, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.

    • CFN FPM Spread
      Miami -3
    • Spread
      Miami -2.5
    • Moneyline
      Miami -130, Colorado State +110
    • Over/Under
      42.5 points
    • Game Time
      4:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, Dec. 28
    • Location
      Arizona Stadium | Tucson, Ariz.
    • Predicted Weather at Kick
      TBD
    • How To Watch
      The CW Network

    Based on recent trends, there is only one way to go with the total in this one: under.

    • The under has cashed in 12 of Miami’s last 18 games and in each of its previous 11 December matchups.
    •  The under has hit in 12 of Colorado State’s past 18 contests.

    MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator

    But what about the spread? Well, the RedHawks went 1-3 ATS in their non-conference schedule this year. Meanwhile, the Rams ended the season on a heater, going 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games.

    However, take that with a grain of salt, as they haven’t covered the spread in five straight December bouts.

    Miami (OH)’s Winning Probability

    Chuck Martin has guided the RedHawks to four consecutive bowl games, but they enter this matchup reeling from a 38-3 drubbing at the hands of Ohio in the MAC title game. With longtime QB Brett Gabbert set for his final collegiate game, expect Miami to channel that frustration into a strong performance against the Rams.

    • at Colorado State: 55.6%

    Colorado State’s Winning Probability

    Under head coach Jay Norvell, the Rams have shown steady improvement, climbing from 3-9 to 5-7 to 8-4—Colorado State’s best record since 2014. Their bowl appearance this year marks their first since 2017, and a win would give them their first bowl victory since 2013.

    • vs. Miami (OH): 44.4%

    Prediction for Miami (OH) vs. Colorado State

    The RedHawks can only improve after their disastrous showing in the MAC title game, where Ohio’s defense completely overwhelmed them. Against Colorado State, Gabbert and 1,000-yard rusher Keyon Mozee should find more room to operate, especially against a Rams defense ranked 107th in EPA and 89th in success rate.

    On the other side, Colorado State’s offense has struggled without star WR Tory Horton, managing just 25 points per game in his absence.

    MORE: 2024 College Football Bowl Game Opt-Out Tracker

    Miami will miss CB Raion Strader, who has entered the transfer portal, but their defense should still be able to contain deep-threat Caleb Goodie (20.4 yards per reception). Rams QB Brayden Nicolosi-Fowler has shown improvement, cutting his interceptions down from 16 last season to seven this year, but he’s thrown just 13 touchdowns all season.

    The RedHawks’ defense, ranked 22nd in net points per drive and 27th in early down EPA, is far stingier than most units Colorado State has faced this season.

    This one has the makings of a methodical, grind-it-out game, with Miami’s defense and rushing attack leading the way. Take the under in what should be a hard-fought win for the RedHawks.

    Prediction: Miami 24, Colorado State 17

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