The Iowa State Cyclones hold a 4-1 all-time record against the Utah Utes, but all four wins came prior to 1980. Utah dominated the most recent matchup in 2010, cruising to a 68-27 victory.
Our Iowa State vs. Utah prediction dives into this compelling showdown, offering critical betting insights to inform your picks.
Iowa State vs. Utah Betting Preview
All Iowa State vs. Utah odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, Nov. 22, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Iowa State -5 - Spread
Iowa State -7 - Moneyline
Iowa State -250, Utah +205 - Over/Under
42 points - Game Time
7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 23 - Location
Rice-Eccles Stadium | Salt Lake City - Predicted Weather at Kick
53 degrees, 9 mph winds, cloudy - How To Watch
Fox
Iowa State is 7-1 against the spread in their last eight road games, making the Week 13 matchup with Utah, who is 1-5 ATS in its last six, even juicier.
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Utes have played in quite a few low-scoring and one-sided bouts this year, with the under hitting in five of their past six contests.
The Cyclones have a trend of their own that could continue this week: since Week 2, the total has alternated between the over and under. With their previous matchup going under, the over is the play this week, right?
Iowa State’s Winning Probability
The Cyclones are going bowling for the seventh time in head coach Matt Campbell’s nine years at the helm, but they have their eyes set on more in 2024. At 5-2 in the conference, they are fourth in the Big 12 standings with two contests left — one game back from the Colorado Buffaloes and BYU Cougars and tied with the Arizona State Sun Devils.
- at Utah: 64.6%
- vs. Kansas State: 57.4%
Utah’s Winning Probability
After riding out to a 4-0 start to the season, injuries have decimated the Utes’ roster, resulting in six straight losses. Bowl eligibility is still within reach, but banking on Utah defeating Iowa State and UCF to finish the season is a tall order.
- vs. Iowa State: 35.4%
- at UCF: 50.0%
Prediction for Iowa State vs. Utah
Even with a laundry list of injuries, the Utes have held their own on defense—until last week. Colorado dropped 49 points on them, marking the first time this season Utah allowed more than 30. It feels like a potential breaking point for a team playing for little more than pride in 2024. Both sides of the ball appear to be out of sync, and the momentum is nowhere to be found.
Iowa State may not have Shedeur Sanders or Travis Hunter on offense, but Rocco Becht has quietly been solid under center. He’s avoided turning pressures into sacks and has been aggressive in pushing the ball downfield, boasting a 9.6 average depth of target.
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The Cyclones don’t need Becht to be a superstar, though. Their ground game ranks 21st in EPA per rush and provides a reliable foundation for the offense. On the flip side, Iowa State’s defense tilts this matchup even more in their favor. Utah’s offense, one of the worst in the conference (22.7 points per game, third-worst; 353.8 yards per game, second-worst), is up against a Cyclones defense ranked 20th in EPA per play.
Turnovers only widen the gap. Utah’s -8 turnover differential is a glaring weakness, especially compared to Iowa State’s +8. No matter how you break it down, the Utes fall short in every meaningful area against the Cyclones.
I’m calling for another blowout. Iowa State gets it done, and Utah’s woes continue.
Prediction: Iowa State 37, Utah 17
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