The Iowa State Cyclones are 4-1 all-time against the Utah Utes, but all four of their wins came before 1980. Utah claimed the most recent meeting in 2010, routing Iowa State 68-27.
Our Iowa State vs. Utah preview breaks down this intriguing matchup, delivering key betting insights to help guide your picks.
Iowa State vs. Utah Betting Preview
All Iowa State vs. Utah odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Nov. 18, 2024. The CFN spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Iowa State -5 - Spread
Iowa State -6.5 - Moneyline
Iowa State -238, Utah +195 - Over/Under
42 points - Game Time
7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 23 - Location
Rice-Eccles Stadium | Salt Lake City - Predicted Weather at Kick
53 degrees, 9 mph winds, cloudy - How To Watch
Fox
Iowa State is 7-1 against the spread in their last eight road games, making the Week 13 matchup with Utah, who is 1-5 ATS in its last six, even juicier.
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Utes have played in quite a few low-scoring and one-sided bouts this year, with the under hitting in five of their past six contests.
The Cyclones have a trend of their own that could continue this week: since Week 2, the total has alternated between the over and under. With their previous matchup going under, the over is the play this week, right?
Iowa State’s Winning Probability
The Cyclones are going bowling for the seventh time in head coach Matt Campbell’s nine years at the helm, but they have their eyes set on more in 2024. At 5-2 in the conference, they are fourth in the Big 12 standings with two contests left — one game back from the Colorado Buffaloes and BYU Cougars and tied with the Arizona State Sun Devils.
- at Utah: 64.6%
- vs. Kansas State: 57.4%
Utah’s Winning Probability
After riding out to a 4-0 start to the season, injuries have decimated the Utes’ roster, resulting in six straight losses. Bowl eligibility is still within reach, but banking on Utah defeating Iowa State and UCF to finish the season is a tall order.
- vs. Iowa State: 35.4%
- at UCF: 50.0%
Prediction for Iowa State vs. Utah
Even with the rampant injuries, the Utes have performed well on defense — except for last week. The Colorado Buffaloes dropped 49 points on them, the first time they allowed 30+ this season. It could be a breaking point for a team playing not much more than pride in 2024, and even then, both sides of the ball seem down on their luck.
The Cyclones may not have Shedeur Sanders or Travis Hunter on offense, but Rocco Becht has played well under center, rarely turning pressures into sacks and pushing the ball downfield (9.6 average depth of target).
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The program doesn’t need him to be a star, with the ground game ranking 21st in EPA per rush. But it’s the flip side that swings the arrow firmly to Iowa State’s side. Utah trots out one of the worst offenses in the conference (22.7 ppg, third worst; 353.8 ypg, second worst) and faces a defense that’s 20th in EPA per play.
It’s not as if they take care of the ball, either, owning a -8 turnover differential to Iowa State’s +8. No matter how you slice it, this Utes team comes up short against the Cyclones, and I’m backing another blowout.
Prediction: Iowa State 37, Utah 17
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