Surprisingly, the expanded College Football Playoff has actually made the regular season even more thrilling, packing the schedule with high-stakes matchups. In the old format, a team like the Ole Miss Rebels would already be out of the postseason picture after two losses.
Now, however, the two-loss Rebels have a real chance to jump back into contention with a win over the Georgia Bulldogs. Can the Rebels defy the odds and pull off an upset on the Grove? Read on to see which way we’re leaning in this Georgia vs. Ole Miss prediction.
Georgia vs. Ole Miss Betting Preview
All Georgia vs. Ole Miss odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Georgia -4 - Spread
Georgia -2.5 - Moneyline
Georgia -135, Ole Miss +114 - Over/Under
55 points - Game Time
Nov. 9, 3:30 p.m. ET - Location
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium | Oxford, Miss. - Predicted Weather at Kick
75 degrees, cloudy, 7 mph winds - How To Watch
ABC
Though the Bulldogs are considered favorites to win the SEC, they’re only slight road favorites, opening at -3 and already falling to -2.5 at some sportsbooks.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
With a total of 55 points and the spread so close, Vegas expects a tightly-contested, somewhat high-scoring contest. The implied final score is close to 29-26, in favor of the Bulldogs.
Georgia’s Winning Probability
Per CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, the Bulldogs are the favorites to win the conference. That doesn’t mean they don’t have some difficult games down the stretch. Georgia has a 62.6% chance to win Saturday, per FPM, its hardest remaining game of the year.
- at Ole Miss: 62.6%
- vs. Tennessee: 73%
- vs. UMass: 99.9%
- vs. Georgia Tech: 93.1%
Ole Miss’ Winning Probability
Conversely, Ole Miss has a 37.4% chance of beating the Bulldogs at home, which translates to a spread of just over four points. FPM still thinks the Rebels have a decent shot at making the College Football Playoff, but a loss to Georgia would really make that difficult.
- vs. Georgia: 37.4%
- at Florida: 89.0%
- vs. Mississippi State: 95.9%
Prediction for Georgia vs. Ole Miss
While the Bulldogs might be in a slightly better position to absorb a loss on Saturday, I think the real pressure is on Kirby Smart.
Carson Beck, once touted as a potential No. 1 pick, has been shaky under pressure lately. Over the past two games, he’s gone 5-for-20 for just 17 yards and tossed four interceptions when hurried.
Those four picks are only part of the six total he’s thrown against Florida and Texas, marking him as the first SEC quarterback in 25 years to throw three or more interceptions in back-to-back wins.
FREE: Sign up for the College Football Network Newsletter to receive unique stories from the world of college football directly to your inbox!
Ole Miss has the defensive front to disrupt the Bulldogs and the receivers to threaten their secondary. These two matchups make me hesitate to back Georgia here.
In fact, this feels like a golden opportunity for Lane Kiffin and his team to keep rolling and finally put themselves in serious College Football Playoff contention.
While Beck has struggled, Jaxson Dart has been on fire, throwing for 826 yards and seven touchdowns in his last two games.
Momentum and matchups may be working against Georgia, even if they are arguably the more complete team. The question is, can the Bulldogs come out fast and quiet the Ole Miss crowd on Saturday?
Personally, I like Ole Miss here and might even back them straight up. Georgia won’t contain the Rebels’ offense like Kentucky did, so I’m expecting a high-scoring game. I’m taking the Rebels straight-up in what should be a fun one.
Prediction: Ole Miss 31, Georgia 28
College Football Network has you covered with the latest from the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC, and every Group of Five conference and FBS Independent program.