The expanded College Football Playoff has brought an unexpected twist—making the regular season even more electrifying with must-watch, high-stakes matchups. Under the old system, a team like the Ole Miss Rebels would be on the outside looking in after two losses, their postseason hopes dashed.
But now? The two-loss Rebels are still in the mix, with a golden opportunity to claw their way back into contention by taking down the Georgia Bulldogs. Can Ole Miss rise to the occasion and shock the college football world? Let’s dive into our Georgia vs. Ole Miss prediction to see how this one might play out.
Georgia vs. Ole Miss Betting Preview
All Georgia vs. Ole Miss odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Friday, Nov. 8, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Georgia -4 - Spread
Georgia -2.5 - Moneyline
Georgia -135, Ole Miss +114 - Over/Under
55 points - Game Time
Nov. 9, 3:30 p.m. ET - Location
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium | Oxford, Miss. - Predicted Weather at Kick
75 degrees, cloudy, 7 mph winds - How To Watch
ABC
Though the Bulldogs are considered favorites to win the SEC, they’re only slight road favorites, opening at -3 and already falling to -2.5 at some sportsbooks.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
With a total of 55 points and the spread so close, Vegas expects a tightly-contested, somewhat high-scoring contest. The implied final score is close to 29-26, in favor of the Bulldogs.
Georgia’s Winning Probability
Per CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, the Bulldogs are the favorites to win the conference. That doesn’t mean they don’t have some difficult games down the stretch. Georgia has a 62.6% chance to win Saturday, per FPM, its hardest remaining game of the year.
- at Ole Miss: 62.6%
- vs. Tennessee: 73%
- vs. UMass: 99.9%
- vs. Georgia Tech: 93.1%
Ole Miss’ Winning Probability
Conversely, Ole Miss has a 37.4% chance of beating the Bulldogs at home, which translates to a spread of just over four points. FPM still thinks the Rebels have a decent shot at making the College Football Playoff, but a loss to Georgia would really make that difficult.
- vs. Georgia: 37.4%
- at Florida: 89.0%
- vs. Mississippi State: 95.9%
Prediction for Georgia vs. Ole Miss
While the Bulldogs might be in a slightly better position to weather a loss on Saturday, all eyes—and the pressure—are squarely on Kirby Smart.
Carson Beck, once hailed as a potential No. 1 pick, has struggled under pressure in recent games. Over the last two outings, he’s managed just 5 completions on 20 attempts for 17 yards and thrown four interceptions when hurried.
Those four picks are part of the six he’s thrown against Florida and Texas combined, making him the first SEC quarterback in 25 years to toss three or more interceptions in consecutive wins.
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Ole Miss has the tools to capitalize, with a defensive front that can disrupt Georgia’s offense and receivers who can challenge their secondary. These matchups give me pause when it comes to backing Georgia.
This feels like a prime opportunity for Lane Kiffin and the Rebels to make a statement and launch themselves into serious College Football Playoff contention.
While Beck has struggled, Jaxson Dart has been electric, racking up 826 passing yards and seven touchdowns over his last two games.
Momentum and matchups appear to favor Ole Miss, even if Georgia is arguably the more complete team. The key question is whether the Bulldogs can start strong and silence the Rebels’ home crowd on Saturday.
Personally, I’m siding with Ole Miss here—and I’d even take them straight up. Georgia won’t lock down the Rebels’ offense the way Kentucky did, so I’m anticipating a high-scoring affair. My pick: the Rebels straight up in what should be an exciting showdown.
Prediction: Ole Miss 31, Georgia 28
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