The expanded College Football Playoff has added an exciting twist, turning the regular season into an even more thrilling spectacle filled with must-watch, high-stakes matchups. In the old format, a team like the Ole Miss Rebels would find themselves on the outside looking in after two losses, their postseason dreams effectively over.
But now? The two-loss Rebels remain firmly in the hunt, with a golden opportunity to fight their way back into contention by taking down the powerhouse Georgia Bulldogs. Will Ole Miss rise to the challenge and pull off a season-defining upset? Let’s break it down with our Georgia vs. Ole Miss prediction to see how this one could unfold.
Georgia vs. Ole Miss Betting Preview
All Georgia vs. Ole Miss odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 9, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Georgia -4 - Spread
Georgia -2 - Moneyline
Georgia -125, Ole Miss +105 - Over/Under
54.5 points - Game Time
Nov. 9, 3:30 p.m. ET - Location
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium | Oxford, Miss. - Predicted Weather at Kick
75 degrees, cloudy, 7 mph winds - How To Watch
ABC
Though the Bulldogs are considered favorites to win the SEC, they’re only slight road favorites, opening at -3 and already falling to -2.5 at some sportsbooks.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
With a total of 55 points and the spread so close, Vegas expects a tightly-contested, somewhat high-scoring contest. The implied final score is close to 29-26, in favor of the Bulldogs.
Georgia’s Winning Probability
Per CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, the Bulldogs are the favorites to win the conference. That doesn’t mean they don’t have some difficult games down the stretch. Georgia has a 62.6% chance to win Saturday, per FPM, its hardest remaining game of the year.
- at Ole Miss: 62.6%
- vs. Tennessee: 73%
- vs. UMass: 99.9%
- vs. Georgia Tech: 93.1%
Ole Miss’ Winning Probability
Conversely, Ole Miss has a 37.4% chance of beating the Bulldogs at home, which translates to a spread of just over four points. FPM still thinks the Rebels have a decent shot at making the College Football Playoff, but a loss to Georgia would really make that difficult.
- vs. Georgia: 37.4%
- at Florida: 89.0%
- vs. Mississippi State: 95.9%
Prediction for Georgia vs. Ole Miss
While the Bulldogs might be in a slightly better position to absorb a loss this Saturday, all eyes—and the pressure—are firmly on Kirby Smart.
Carson Beck, once touted as a potential No. 1 pick, has faltered under pressure in recent games. In his last two outings, he’s completed just 5 of 20 attempts for 17 yards and thrown four interceptions when hurried.
Those four picks are part of six total interceptions he’s thrown against Florida and Texas combined, making him the first SEC quarterback in 25 years to toss three or more interceptions in back-to-back wins.
FREE: Sign up for the College Football Network Newsletter to receive unique stories from the world of college football directly to your inbox!
Ole Miss has the weapons to exploit these weaknesses—a defensive front capable of disrupting Georgia’s offense and receivers who can stretch the Bulldogs’ secondary. These matchups make me hesitate to back Georgia in this one.
This feels like the perfect opportunity for Lane Kiffin and the Rebels to make a statement and catapult themselves into serious College Football Playoff contention.
While Beck has struggled, Jaxson Dart has been electric, racking up 826 passing yards and seven touchdowns in his last two games.
Momentum and matchups seem to favor Ole Miss, even if Georgia is arguably the more well-rounded team. The key question is whether the Bulldogs can start fast enough to quiet the Rebels’ home crowd.
For me, I’m siding with Ole Miss here—and I’d even take them outright. Georgia won’t stifle the Rebels’ offense like Kentucky did, so I’m expecting a high-scoring battle.
My pick: Ole Miss straight up in what promises to be a thrilling showdown.
Prediction: Ole Miss 31, Georgia 28
College Football Network has you covered with the latest from the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC, and every Group of Five conference and FBS Independent program.