Whatever you now call the artist formerly known as “The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party,” just know that the Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs rivalry game is must-watch mayhem no matter how each team is performing in any given season.
Our Florida vs. Georgia prediction covers everything you need to know, from the latest betting odds to both teams’ outlooks as they head into the final stretch of the 2024 college football season.
Florida vs. Georgia Betting Preview
All Florida vs. Georgia odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and correct as of Wednesday, Oct. 30, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter (FPM).
- CFN FPM Spread
Georgia -21 - Spread
Georgia -16 - Moneyline
Georgia -800, Florida +550 - Over/Under
52 points - Game Time
3:30 p.m. ET - Location
TIAA Bank Stadium | Jacksonville, FL - Predicted Weather at Kick
79 degrees, partly cloudy, 12 mph winds - How To Watch
ABC
The Florida vs. Georgia rivalry game enters its 102nd edition with the Bulldogs holding a distinct upper hand. After winning three consecutive games in Jacksonville, they now hold a comfortable 55-44-2 advantage in the head-to-head record. With Kirby Smart’s team once again challenging atop the conference, Georgia is an understandable favorite in Week 10.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Despite some minor movement, Georgia is still more than a two-touchdown favorite. While they carry a 6-1 record into this matchup, they’re only 2-5 covering the spread this year, and our Florida vs. Georgia prediction explains why backing the Gators to cover might be the intelligent play here. Billy Napier’s team has covered the spread in each of their last four games.
Florida’s Winning Probability
According to CFN FPM, Florida might be a decent team but should struggle down the stretch. FPM gives Florida an 11.9% chance to win Saturday, translating to an implied spread of 21 points. The Gators will be heavy underdogs in four of their remaining five games and will need at least one upset to get to bowl eligibility.
Here are their winning probabilities for the remainder of the season:
- vs. Georgia: 11.9%
- at Texas: 7.9%
- vs. LSU: 25.1%
- vs. Ole Miss: 28.4%
- at Florida State: 73.0%
Georgia’s Winning Probability
Conversely, Georgia has an 88.1% chance of overcoming the Gators. The Bulldogs will be heavy favorites in most of their remaining games, with two games in which FPM has the Bulldogs as single-digit favorites.
Here are their winning probabilities for the remainder of the season:
- vs. Florida: 88.1%
- at Ole Miss: 66.4%
- vs. Tennessee: 68.8%
- vs. UMass: 99.9%
- vs. Georgia Tech: 93.4%
Prediction for Florida vs. Georgia
I’m learning this year that just because we have low preseason expectations for a team due to a difficult schedule doesn’t mean that the team is a bad team.
The media put Billy Napier on the hot seat after a loss to a Miami Hurricanes team that has since proven to be a College Football Playoff contender, losing only to Tennessee and Texas A&M since, both teams in the top 10.
Now, the Gators have a gauntlet of Georgia, Texas, LSU, and Ole Miss. It’s brutal, but it doesn’t mean the Gators aren’t a good team.
In fact, they’ve played as well as any team in the country during their best games.
So, I’m not ready to declare Georgia the winner in a blowout. In fact, I think the Gators keep this close.
Quarterback DJ Lagway’s all-or-nothing approach is intriguing against a Georgia defense that has occasionally struggled with deep throws. He averaged over 25 yards an attempt against Kentucky and exhibited a willingness to throw deep in any down and distance.
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Georgia’s front seven will likely cause some havoc and force a few turnovers, but the Georgia offense, especially Carson Beck, hasn’t been immune to turnovers either.
Ultimately, Georgia should overcome any potential momentum swings and control this late, but 17 is a big number; I think the Gators can cover. In a typically chaotic game, take the over.
Prediction: Georgia 38, Florida 29
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