It’s a stacked Saturday slate in Week 8, which started with the Miami Hurricanes and Louisville Cardinals in an all-ACC clash at noon ET and continues into the 3:30 p.m. ET slate. With so many college football player props available, it might be difficult to keep up with the action.
Never fear, after going 7-2 on player props last week, we’re back with a player prop for every available game in the two opening Saturday slates. Plus, check back later in the day for the 7:00 p.m. ET and beyond lineups.
Saturday College Football Player Props
Chris Brazzell II Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
While Chris Brazzell II has been inconsistent this year, the back half of the Alabama Crimson Tide secondary has been more inconsistent. Kalen DeBoer’s team has been good for between two and three defensive breakdowns a game, and here’s to thinking Brazzell takes advantage of one of those.
At just 34.5 yards, Brazzell might hit the over on just one catch on Saturday.
Jeremiyah Love 2+ TDs (+230)
Notre Dame vs. Georgia Tech is going to be an old-school football game with plenty of hitting and plenty of rushing. Notre Dame Fighting Irish running back Jeremiyah Love has scored exactly one touchdown in every game this year, but I expect the running back to see an uptick in usage against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
He’s becoming the power back for the Fighting Irish and I think this is the game he really sees his red-zone usage go up.
Jack Tuttle Under 177.5 Passing Yards (-110)
This is just way too high for a Michigan Wolverines quarterback and simply hasn’t been earned. Jack Tuttle relieved Alex Orji last week against an okay defense and put up a whopping 5.4 yards per attempt.
Even if we put Tuttle at Illinois’ average yards per attempt allowed (7.3), he’d need 25 attempts to reach his total. That won’t happen, so hammer this before it drops.
Blake Horvath Over 75.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Blake Horvath is a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate and while the Charlotte 49ers’ defense has looked decent in recent weeks, they haven’t faced any solid quarterbacks in that time. The pass defense is far superior to the rushing defense, and Horvath may find more early success with his legs than his arm.
Charlotte is allowing 2.1 open field yards per run, meaning the defense is allowing a lot of chunk plays in the running game. Horvath has nearly 600 yards this year, and I expect that he’ll add a substantial bit to that number Saturday.
Kevin Concepcion Anytime Touchdown (+200)
Eventually, the NC State Wolfpack are going to realize that it has one of the best offensive playmakers in the country. Kevin Concepcion had three touchdowns in the opener, but just one since, though he did have a 42-yard reception against Syracuse. Against California, the combination of value and opportunity is there and we can feel good about betting on him to score.
Kyle Williams Anytime Touchdown (-140)
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors’ defense has been fairly decent at taking away a team’s top option, even holding Ashton Jeanty in check last week for the better part of three quarters.
For the Washington State Cougars, that’s John Mateer’s running ability. I expect WSU to scheme some touches for their best playmaker on the outside, and really like the value here, even at -140, where it should come in.
Zeon Chriss Over 41.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Like a few of the other ones, play this and consider sprinkling in an alternate over. Zeon Chriss ran for 97 yards on just 11 carries last week and while the Kansas Jayhawks’ defense isn’t that bad, it isn’t that good either.
Each dual-threat quarterback the Jayhawks has faced has gone well over his season average in rushing, with three of the four setting season-high marks. I’m not sure what else to expect out of the Houston Cougars, but Chriss will get his yardage.
Woody Marks Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Woody Marks has hit the 30-yard receiving mark in five straight games, and his background with the Mississippi State Bulldogs’ Air Raid has helped him become a consistent safety blanket for USC Trojans’ Miller Moss.
I don’t think this game will be as much of a blowout as the spread suggests, and I expect USC to ride Marks as a rusher and receiver.
Tetairoa McMillan Under 104.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
With Travis Hunter expected to play, but likely less than 100%, I expect him to put more focus on the side of the ball where he’s needed most. Against the Arizona Wildcats, that’s defensively. Tetairoa McMillen is Arizona’s offense, but Hunter will likely shadow his fellow future first-rounder, and I think he gets the best of McMillan.
You could consider a receiving over for one of the other Colorado Buffaloes receivers, as they’ll likely see a slight uptick in target share with Hunter banged up, but guessing which guy gets the extra throws is a tricky endeavor.
Sawyer Robinson Anytime Touchdown (+210)
While the Baylor Bears have been a trainwreck this season, Sawyer Robinson has been a pleasant surprise, even against decent defenses. He’s scored in three of his last four games, but his odds of scoring remain long.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders’ defense has gotten better but still struggles some against the run. I expect that when the Bears get close to the end zone, Robinson will look to run against a pass defense that has been good in tight spaces.
Connor Weigman Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Mississippi State’s passing defense is an absolute disaster, allowing opposing quarterbacks to throw for their season-high yardage in six straight games. Even more encouraging for the Connor Weigman yardage prop is that the Bulldogs’ offense has found new life under quarterback Michael Van Buren, making it so opponents can’t just pack it in on offense after halftime.
Weigman could throw for 300 yards here, and it wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest. The Aggies are still testing out their newfound downfield passing attack, and this is a great spot for some free practice.
Cam Ward Over 34.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The Louisville Cardinals’ defense has been generally okay at stopping the run unless it’s from the quarterback position. In fact, the unit has allowed the opposing quarterback to be the leading rusher in five straight games this season. Expect Cam Ward to take off a bunch and find some room this weekend.
Ward has the athleticism to put up big rushing numbers but hasn’t really needed to this year. That could change if Louisville remains decent in pass coverage.
Cade Klubnik Over 2.5 Passing TDs (-105)
Cade Klubnik has thrown for three or more touchdowns in four of his last five games, and the Virginia Cavaliers defense is substantially better against the run than the pass. I considered an under on some of the Clemson rushers, but I’d rather cash in on the success of the passing game.
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That seems less risky, as this game could be out of hand by halftime. Yet Clemson hasn’t been a team that pulls its starters quickly. I’d rather shoot for a relatively quick over than sweat a game-long under here.
Elijah Surratt Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
The Nebraska Cornhuskers have the best defense the Indiana Hoosiers have faced, but so far this year, quarterback Kurtis Rourke has looked toward his top target more when he has to than when he doesn’t. Surratt has put up over 100 yards against the top two defenses in SP+ rating that the Hoosiers have faced.
Those games just so happen to be the last two weeks. I feel more comfortable going with Surratt’s yardage than touchdown props or Rourke’s yardage prop, as Nebraska’s defense has been excellent this season but should give up a couple of big throws.
Theo Wease Jr. Over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
This is a combination of many positive factors for the Missouri Tigers’ number two receiver. Theo Wease Jr. has gone over 50.5 yards against every Power Four team Missouri has faced, as well as the MAC-contending Buffalo Bulls. The Auburn Tigers’ secondary is young and will likely bracket Luther Burden on the other side who just so happens to be nursing an injury as well.
Missouri will want a good showing, and not just a win, and I’ve already predicted a blowout win for Eli Drinkwitz’s team. Expect Wease to get behind the defense at least once. That might be all he needs to get to 51 yards, though he’s comfortable operating underneath as well.
Rahjai Harris Under 49.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Rahjai Harris’ raw numbers are decent this season, but he’s feasted against awful run defenses and in a positive game script. The Army Black Knights will provide neither of those, as the program has the nation’s best rushing defense and are 17-point favorites.
Expect this to go like most Army games. The Black Knights will hold the ball for nearly 40 minutes and by the time the Pirates can get into an offensive rhythm, they’ll be down three scores and forced to throw. This is my favorite play of the noon slate.
Cam Porter Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (+120)
I think this is probably the game in which Cam Porter gets back up to speed for the Northwestern Wildcats. I’m also tempted by his anytime touchdown, which should be fairly decent plus-odds, but in a game with an implied team total of less than 17 points, I’m probably going to go with the yardage over.
It’s not a case of ability, as Porter has shown he can consistently reach these numbers when healthy. He just hasn’t gotten the volume since returning from injury two weeks ago. Expect him to be close to the 15-carry range, which should easily get him over in an ugly game.
Kyle Monongai Over 108.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Dating back to last season, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights have lost six straight Big Ten games when Kyle Monongai gets fewer than 20 attempts. Currently on a two-game losing streak and facing a weaker UCLA Bruins’ defensive front, expect Monongai to get plenty of touches Saturday.
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He’s averaging 5.5 yards a carry this year, so if he gets to 20 rushes, he should reach that 109-yard mark. I don’t feel great about this one, as UCLA’s rushing defense isn’t bad, but the Scarlet Knights are likely going to pound the ball consistently in another ugly game.
Demond Claiborne Over 83.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
While I really like the UConn Huskies, I think the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will be persistent in the run against a team it believes it should be able to handle in the trenches. In those types of games, Demond Claiborne has been excellent this season, as he’s struggled against better opponents and thrived against teams close to Wake Forest’s own level.
Claiborne went way over 83.5 yards against the NC State Wolfpack and Louisville. Therefore, he should be able to find some space against UConn.
Cam Skattebo Over 92.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Run to this one. The Arizona State Sun Devils will be without Sam Leavitt and will likely take a more run-heavy approach with the dual-threat Jeff Sims under center. Cam Skattebo might be the best running back in the Big 12, and I expect the Sun Devils to ride him with Leavitt out.
On the flip side, the Cincinnati Bearcats’ defensive front is terrible against the run. It’s a perfect storm. If your sportsbook offers alternate rushing totals, it might be worth sprinkling over a higher number, as you’ll get some nice plus money odds on some very gettable yardage totals.
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