Boise State College Football Playoff Predictions: Plotting the Broncos’ Path to the National Championship

    The College Football Playoff bracket is set. Here's a break down of Boise State's path to the national championship, as well as predictions for each game.

    Following the College Football Playoff Selection Committee’s final rankings, the bracket is officially set. What is the Boise State Broncos’ path to the national championship?

    CFN CFB Playoff Predictor
    College Football Network’s College Football Playoff Predictor is a tool that allows you to play out various weekly scenarios to see how the CFP picture changes with each scenario.

    Boise State College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Projection vs. No. 6 Penn State or No. 11 SMU

    The Broncos earned a first-round bye as the No. 3-seeded team, and they’ll need all the time they can get. Whether the Penn State Nittany Lions or SMU Mustangs advance, Boise State will have its hands full.

    • Win Probability vs. Penn State: 29.7%
    • Win Probability vs. SMU: 42.6%
    • CFN Spread vs. Penn State: Penn State -7
    • CFN Spread vs. SMU: SMU -3

    Boise State College Football Playoff Semifinal Projection vs. No. 10 Indiana, No. 7 Notre Dame, or  No. 2 Georgia

    So, Boise State moves on — who’s next?

    The winner of Indiana Hoosiers-Notre Dame Fighting Irish would face the Georgia Bulldogs in the quarterfinal for the right to challenge the Broncos in the semifinal.

    • Win Probability vs. Indiana: 33.1%
    • Win Probability vs. Notre Dame: 29.7%
    • Win Probability vs. Georgia: 22.6%
    • CFN Spread vs. Indiana: Indiana -6
    • CFN Spread vs. Notre Dame: Notre Dame -7
    • CFN Spread vs. Georgia: Georgia -10

    Boise State College Football Playoff National Championship Projection vs. the Field

    If the Broncos make the national championship, they’ll hope the Clemson Tigers are their opponent. However, the odds of that are slim, with the Oregon Ducks, Texas Longhorns, Arizona State Sun Devils, Ohio State Buckeyes, and Tennessee Volunteers also on their side of the bracket.

    MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor

    • Win Probability vs. No. 5 Texas: 23.4%
    • Win Probability vs. No. 12 Clemson: 41.1%
    • Win Probability vs. No. 4 Arizona State: 38.9%
    • Win Probability vs. No. 8 Ohio State: 21.9%
    • Win Probability vs. No. 9 Tennessee: 26.6%
    • Win Probability vs. No. 1 Oregon: 17.4%
    • CFN Spread vs. No. 5 Texas: Texas -10
    • CFN Spread vs. No. 12 Clemson: Clemson -3
    • CFN Spread vs. No. 4 Arizona State: Arizona State -4
    • CFN Spread vs. No. 8 Ohio State: Ohio State -10
    • CFN Spread vs. No. 9 Tennessee: Tennessee -8
    • CFN Spread vs. No. 1 Oregon: Oregon -12.5

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