Big 12 Championship Game Prediction: Texas vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread, DFS Picks, and More

Will Texas or Oklahoma State win the 2023 Big 12 title? Step this way for the latest odds, DFS picks, and a Big 12 Championship Game prediction.

This Saturday at AT&T Stadium, we’re going to find out the answer to one of college football’s longest-running jokes; is Texas back? The Longhorns haven’t played in the Big 12 Championship Game since 2009, while the Oklahoma State Cowboys return to the scene of a narrow defeat looking to avenge their loss to Baylor in the 2021 championship game.

Will it be the Longhorns or Cowboys taking home the conference crown? Ahead of the game, we’ve got the latest college football betting odds, DFS picks, and a Big 12 Championship Game prediction.

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Big 12 Championship Game Betting and DFS Preview

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and correct as of Monday, Nov. 27, 2023. Want to take advantage of the Big 12 Championship Game odds? Visit the College Football Network live college football odds page to place bets in your state.

  • Spread
    Texas -14.5
  • Moneyline
    Texas -700, Oklahoma State +500
  • Over/Under
    55 points
  • Game time
    Noon ET
  • Location
    AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
  • Predicted Weather at Kick
    58 degrees, 10 mph winds, partly sunny
  • How to Watch
    ABC, FuboTV

Looking to cash in on the Cowboys? Got a lucky feeling about the Longhorns? If you’re going to take advantage of the Big 12 Championship Game odds, consider some of the following factors before you part with your hard-earned cash.

After beating Alabama early in the season and making it to the Big 12 Championship on the back of an 11-1 season, Texas enters the game as a significant favorite. Oklahoma State has actually had the better of the recent head-to-head history, winning seven of the last 10 games, but the Longhorns are 26-11 overall against the Cowboys and should extend that lead.

With Texas being such a considerable favorite, are there other Big 12 Championship odds you should consider? Yes, there are. While Texas routed Texas Tech last time out, they’ve been a mixed back as a double-digit favorite. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State covered the only game this year as a double-digit underdog. They’re 4-1 covering as the unfavored team this year.

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Furthermore, there hasn’t been a 15-point winning margin for either team in the last six clashes of the Cowboys and Longhorns. Finally, Texas has covered the total points line just four times this year but that shouldn’t stop you from considering placing some money on the over. This game has been historically high-scoring, as has the last two Oklahoma State games in 2023.

Top DFS Picks and Fantasy Plays

Texas Depth Chart | Oklahoma State Depth Chart

  • QB Quinn Ewers, Texas 
  • QB Alan Bowman, Oklahoma State 
  • RB CJ Baxter, Texas 
  • RB Jaydon Blue, Texas 
  • RB Savion Red, Texas 
  • RB Ollie Gordon II, Oklahoma State 
  • RB Jaden Nixon, Oklahoma State 
  • RB Elijah Collins, Oklahoma State 
  • WR Xavier Worthy, Texas
  • WR Adonai Mitchell, Texas 
  • WR Jordan Whittington, Texas 
  • WR Rashod Owens, Oklahoma State 
  • WR Jaden Bray, Oklahoma State
  • WR Brennan Presley, Oklahoma State 
  • TE Ja’Tavion Sanders, Texas 
  • TE Josiah Johnson, Texas 

There are eight college football games on the Saturday of Championship Game weekend to compile your DFS team from. If you’re new to DFS, Fanduel Superflex contests require you to select a quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, and a “Superflex” that can be any of the above or a tight end.

Even against a stellar Texas run defense, Oklahoma State running back Ollie Gordon II might be the piece to build your DFS lineup around. The Heisman Trophy contender has rushed for over 100 yards in two-thirds of his games this season and has scored eight touchdowns in his last two contests, making him the only running back with over 300 fantasy points this season.

Your Big 12 Championship Game picks should avoid the quarterback position. Oklahoma State’s Alan Bowman is the QB90 in college football fantasy points, and while Quinn Ewers has had an injury-impacted season, he’s the fantasy QB55. There’s a favorable matchup for the Texas QB, but there are also much better fantasy options in action on Saturday.

There aren’t any top-50 fantasy wide receiver options in this game, which may impact your selections. That said, both Xavier Worthy and Adonai Mitchell could add significant points to their 2023 season tallies with a favorable matchup. Worthy may be the reception and yardage leader, but Mitchell has been the touchdown machine and could be the better option.

Prediction for the Big 12 Championship Game

Okay, so we’ve furnished you with the Big 12 Championship Game odds and some DFS picks. Now, it’s time to close this thing out with our prediction. Can we finally say that Texas is back if they win the Big 12 title and put pressure on the College Football Playoff committee? Or will the Cowboys lasso the Longhorns’ run to the playoff with a surprise win at AT&T Stadium on Saturday?

Football, at its very purest, is a game of positional and situational battles. In this respect, the Big 12 Championship Game could be an absolute classic. However, it also has the potential to define the game in one very clear direction. There’s a very real reason why Texas is favored considerably ahead of this game. In fact, there are multiple reasons to believe the Longhorns will win.

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It starts with the Oklahoma State offense. Running back Gordon is a worthy Heisman Trophy contender who has been the beating heart of the Cowboys’ offensive efforts. Although Mike Gundy’s team ranks second in the Big 12 for passing attempts per game, they wouldn’t be anywhere near the title game without their 1,580-yard, 20-touchdown, sensational sophomore ball carrier.

Few teams have been able to contain the Cowboys’ back, but Texas has as good of a chance as anyone. The Longhorns have allowed just seven rushing scores all season, and have averaged just 85.00 rushing yards allowed per game while allowing just 2.93 yards per carry to opposing backs. Led by T’Vondre Sweat and Byron Murphy II, their interior is as solid as it comes.

On offense, Texas faces a favorable matchup against the Oklahoma State defense. There’s undeniable talent on the defensive front, with Nickolas Martin and Collin Oliver both tallying double-digit tackles for loss this season. However, they’ve allowed the second most passing touchdowns and yards per attempt in the Big 12 during the 2023 regular season.

Worthy and Mitchell will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing that defensive unit. Between Worthy’s lightning speed as an after-the-catch threat and Mitchell’s route-running nuance, catch-point reliability, and red-zone potency, the Longhorns offense should be able to outscore the Cowboys to land a first conference crown since 2019. Is Texas back? You bet it is.

Prediction: Texas 34, Oklahoma State 24

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