The Iron Bowl — a rivalry etched in college football lore — returns this Saturday, but this year feels different. The Alabama Crimson Tide (8-3, 4-3 SEC) meet the Auburn Tigers (5-6, 2-5 SEC) in a matchup that lacks the usual stakes of SEC or national championship implications.
For Alabama, a season of uncharacteristic ups and downs still has left them as an almost multi-touchdown favorite over their rival, even as their offensive rhythm has faltered following a startling 24-3 defeat to the Oklahoma Sooners in Week 13. For Auburn, it’s a chance to salvage pride in a difficult season and, perhaps, to keep their postseason hopes alive.
Auburn vs. Alabama Betting Preview
All Auburn vs. Alabama odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Sunday, Nov. 24, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Alabama -18 - Spread
Alabama -11.5 - Moneyline
Auburn +360, Alabama -420 - Over/Under
52 points - Game Time
Saturday, Nov. 30, 3:30 p.m. ET - Location
Bryant-Denny Stadium | Tuscaloosa, Ala. - Predicted Weather at Kick
53 degrees, mostly cloudy, 4 mph winds - How To Watch
ABC
Alabama initially opened as a full two-touchdown favorite over their rival in Saturday’s Iron Bowl. However, that number has continued to fall since opening and sits at -11.5. The total hasn’t seen much movement as it opened at 51.5 and drifted up to an even 52. There is still some time for the action on this one to impact both the spread and the total.
Auburn’s Winning Probability
According to CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, the Tigers have an 8.7% chance of defeating the Crimson Tide on Saturday.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season with CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
If the win probability holds, Auburn will finish its 2024 campaign at 5-7 and will miss bowl eligibility for the first time since 2012, which was Gene Chizik’s last season at the helm for the Tigers.
- at Alabama: 8.7%
Alabama’s Winning Probability
According to the CFN FPM, Alabama has a 91.3% chance of defeating Auburn in the Iron Bowl on Saturday.
If the win probabilities hold, the Crimson Tide would finish 2024 at 8-4 but would most likely miss out on the first-ever 12-team college football playoff in Kalen DeBoer’s first year after taking over for Nick Saban.
- vs. Auburn: 91.3%
Prediction for Auburn vs. Alabama
The Iron Bowl returns with familiar stakes, but this year’s script feels slightly askew. Last year, Alabama entered as heavy favorites at Jordan-Hare Stadium, but it took a miraculous 4th-and-23 catch to escape with a victory. This season, the Crimson Tide arrives bruised, both in record and spirit, following a humbling 24-3 loss to Oklahoma — a game where Alabama looked uncharacteristically out of sync.
Alabama fell far short of its usual standard with just 234 total yards and a defense shredded for 257 rushing yards. This Alabama squad faces the Iron Bowl with the slimmest College Football Playoff hopes.
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For Auburn, the stakes are clear: win and secure bowl eligibility. Momentum is on their side after an emotional upset of Texas A&M, fueled by grit but marred by penalties and inefficiencies. Yet, with just over 23 minutes of possession last week, can the Tigers summon the energy to overcome an Alabama team hungry for redemption?
The Tide hasn’t looked dominant in recent weeks, but rivalry games have a way of reigniting focus and fire. Auburn may have the emotional spark but Alabama, wounded and motivated, holds the edge in talent and determination. The Tide rolls on Saturday.
Prediction: Alabama 31, Auburn 16
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