In the heat of the desert, a storied rivalry resumes. The Arizona State Sun Devils (9-2, 6-2 Big 12) travel to Tucson to face the Arizona Wildcats (4-7, 2-6 Big 12) at Arizona Stadium on Saturday, Nov. 30. Fresh off a hard-fought 28-23 victory over BYU, the Sun Devils carry momentum into this clash of in-state foes.
For Arizona, it’s a week of redemption after falling 49-28 to TCU. The Wildcats will look to rally in front of their home crowd, eager to reclaim pride in a rivalry etched in tradition. In the Territorial Cup, records fade, and passion rises.
Arizona State vs. Arizona Betting Preview
All Arizona State vs. Arizona odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Monday, Nov. 25, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Arizona State -9 - Spread
Arizona State -8.5 - Moneyline
Arizona State -315, Arizona +280 - Over/Under
53.5 points - Game Time
Saturday, Nov. 30, 3:30 p.m. ET - Location
Arizona Stadium | Tucson, AZ - Predicted Weather at Kick
70 degrees, mostly cloudy, 4 mph winds - How To Watch
FOX
This line opened at -8.5 and has floated between -8 and -9 since then. It has settled back down on the original opening line but will most likely see some more movement as action comes in prior to kickoff.
The total opened at 50.5 and has steadily climbed since the opening. It now sits at 53.5 and will likely see more movement before kickoff.
Arizona State’s Winning Probability
According to CFN’s Football Playoff Meter, the Sun Devils have a 75.1% chance of defeating the Wildcats on Saturday.
If the win probability holds, Arizona State would finish the 2024 regular season at 10-2, which equals the most wins for Sun Devils football since they finished 10-3 in 2014. If the Devils can defeat the Wildcats on Sunday and win their bowl game, they’d win 11 games for the first time since 1999.
- at Arizona: 75.1%
Arizona’s Winning Probability
According to the CFN FPM, Arizona has a 24.9% chance of defeating Arizona State in the Territorial Cup on Saturday.
If the win probabilities hold, the Wildcats would finish 2024 at 4-8, which would cap a wildly disappointing first season under head coach Brent Brennan. At one point, the Wildcats were ranked as high as No. 20 in the AP poll, and they entered 2024 with high expectations after finishing 2023 at 10-3 with a victory in the Alamo Bowl.
- vs. Arizona State: 24.9%
Prediction for Arizona State vs. Arizona
The Territorial Cup carries a new twist this year as Arizona State and Arizona meet for the first time as Big 12 foes. For the Sun Devils, a win in Tucson secures their spot in the Big 12 Championship Game, though other scenarios could still pave the way.
With one of the nation’s best records against the spread (9-2), ASU has been a model of consistency. Offensively, Arizona State has been formidable, averaging 31 points per game while balancing 209 yards in the air and 191 on the ground. Their defense, allowing just 23 points per game, has been steady against both the pass and the run.
The Wildcats face a different narrative. Arizona has dropped four of the last five games, including a lopsided 49-28 loss to TCU last week. Despite flashes of offensive promise — 256 passing yards per game — they’ve struggled for consistency. Their defense has allowed 28 points per game and significant rushing damage at 167 yards per contest.
Arizona seeks to win its third straight Territorial Cup for the first time in 30 years, but it faces a daunting task against a surging Sun Devils team with championship aspirations. The numbers (and momentum) favor Arizona State. Expect the Sun Devils to rise in Tucson.
Prediction: Arizona State 33, Arizona 20
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