The USC Trojans hold a 20-game lead over the Washington Huskies in their all-time series (51-31-4), but Washington has taken the last two meetings. Can USC turn it around in Week 10?
Our USC vs. Washington preview breaks down the matchup, giving you crucial betting insights to help shape your picks.
USC vs. Washington Betting Preview
All USC vs. Washington odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
USC -1.5 - Spread
USC -2 - Moneyline
USC -130, Washington +110 - Over/Under
55.5 points - Game Time
7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, Nov. 2 - Location
Husky Stadium | Seattle - Predicted Weather at Kick
51 degrees, 6 mph winds, partly cloudy - How To Watch
BTN
After opening as a pick ’em, bettors have pushed the Trojans to a near-field goal favorite. That said, USC is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games against Washington and 1-7 ATS in its last eight road bouts.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
So, the Huskies are the play ATS, right? Not so fast, as they are 2-5 ATS in their previous seven contests.
The under could be the most appealing play, having hit in seven of Washington’s last nine games. Perhaps more importantly, the total has failed to reach the posted number in five of the last six Washington-USC clashes.
USC’s Winning Probability
The Trojans just snapped a three-game skid by throttling the Rutgers Scarlet Knights 42-20. The good times could keep coming, as according to the FPM, USC owns 50% or higher win probabilities in its next three games.
- at Washington: 51.8%
- vs. Nebraska: 53.4%
- at UCLA: 74.6%
- vs. Notre Dame: 35.9%
Washington’s Winning Probability
While the Trojans are on the up and up, the Huskies appear to be bottoming out. Not only have they lost their last two matchups, but they aren’t favored to win a game until the season finale vs. the UCLA Bruins.
- vs. USC: 48.2%
- at Penn State: 8.1%
- at Oregon: 5.3%
- vs. UCLA: 75.3%
Prediction for USC vs. Washington
USC enters this matchup with renewed confidence and a chance to turn around its road struggles. Despite holding late leads in challenging environments at Michigan, Minnesota, and Maryland, the Trojans came up short each time, unable to close out and falling in all three road games.
Their sole victory away from the Coliseum came in a Week 1 neutral-site clash against LSU. Now, for the first time all season, USC avoids consecutive cross-country trips—a factor that could swing things in their favor.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
Washington, on the other hand, has hit a rough patch after a strong start, dropping four of its last six to settle at 4-4. Although undefeated at home, three of those wins were against teams below .500.
Returning to Seattle after two tough road losses to Iowa and Indiana — where they were outscored 71-33 — the Huskies aim to regroup. Back in his element, QB Will Rogers will look to bounce back after a challenging outing last week, where he threw two interceptions and no touchdowns for the first time this season.
At home, Rogers has been on point, with 10 touchdowns to just one interception and a 73.9% completion rate. But pressure is mounting for a Washington team navigating a transitional year.
Meanwhile, USC’s Miller Moss is finding his rhythm, posting 16 touchdowns to six interceptions in his debut season. After consecutive 300-yard games, Moss appears to be hitting his stride at just the right time.
Though Washington averages slightly more yards per game than USC (435.9 to 435.1), the Trojans are putting up 10 more points per game (33.3 to 23.3). What’s the difference?
Washington struggles on key downs, ranking near the bottom nationally on third-down (37.0%, 98th) and red-zone (77.4%, 110th) conversion rates, often stalling when it counts. USC, meanwhile, sits at 20th on third down (46.4%) and 11th in the red zone (93.8%).
Take the Trojans to win and cover on the road, with the under likely to hit again.
Prediction: USC 28, Washington 20
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