The Memphis Tigers and UTSA Roadrunners have faced off just once before, with UTSA taking a narrow 31-28 victory in 2021. But that’s history now—the Tigers are rolling at 7-1 this season, while the Roadrunners are fighting to avoid their first losing record since 2019.
In this Memphis vs. UTSA preview, we break down the matchup, deliver key betting insights, and share tips to guide your best wagering choices.
Memphis vs. UTSA Betting Preview
All Memphis vs. UTSA odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are correct as of Saturday, Nov. 2, 2024. The CFN Spread comes from College Football Network’s Football Playoff Meter.
- CFN FPM Spread
Memphis -13 - Spread
Memphis -7.5 - Moneyline
Memphis -278, UTSA +225 - Over/Under
61 points - Game Time
Noon ET, Saturday, Nov. 2 - Location
Alamodome | San Antonio, Texas - Predicted Weather at Kick
75 degrees, 10 mph winds, thunderstorm - How To Watch
ESPN2
Memphis opened as six-point favorites, but the line has since moved up. The catch? They’re just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games, so a bigger spread raises doubts about their ability to cover.
UTSA hasn’t been any sharper, though, with a 2-6 ATS record this season.
MORE: CFN Betting Parlay Calculator
What about the total? Recent trends point to the over hitting, as it has done so in:
- 13 of Memphis’ last 19 games
- Six of Memphis’ last seven vs. AAC opponents
- Five of UTSA’s last seven contests
Memphis’ Winning Probability
The Tigers need to win out in order to have a shot at the Group of Five’s College Football Playoff bid. Outside of a season finale road matchup with the Tulane Green Wave, the FPM likes their odds.
- at UTSA: 82.8%
- vs. Rice: 87.4%
- vs. UAB: 92.3%
- at Tulane: 44.4%
UTSA’s Winning Probability
Jeff Traylor and Co. need three wins to become bowl-eligible. They may only get one by the end of the season, as their average win probability the rest of the way is 32.7%.
- vs. Memphis: 17.2%
- vs. North Texas: 46.2%
- vs. Temple: 58.9%
- at Army: 8.3%
Prediction for Memphis vs. UTSA
The Roadrunners may be 3-5 this season, but they haven’t lost at home since September 15, 2023. Unfortunately, all good things must come to an end.
Memphis has only one loss this season (a 56-44 shootout against Navy), and a struggling UTSA team isn’t likely to change that.
MORE: Simulate the College Football Season With CFN’s College Football Playoff Predictor
There’s no need to dive deep into the analytics here — they speak for themselves:
- Turnover differential: Memphis +11, UTSA -1
- Penalties (yards): Memphis 40 (368), UTSA 76 (715)
- Sacks allowed: Memphis 11, UTSA 23
- Rushing YPG (YPA): Memphis 168.9 (5.0), UTSA 138.9 (3.5)
Let’s be real—the Tigers are taking this one, and it won’t be close.
Prediction: Memphis 40, UTSA 17
College Football Network has you covered with the latest from the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC, and every Group of Five conference and FBS Independent program.